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Croatia U19 vs Italy U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Luongo A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Croatia U19 and Italy U19 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Croatia U19
15%
Draws
51%
Italy U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Croatia U19 haven't matched Italy U19's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Croatia U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia U19 Italy U19
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 16
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Friendly International
Croatia U19 vs Italy U19
0:1
Jul 2, 2026 Euro U19
Croatia U19 vs Italy U19
0:0
Sep 3, 2025 Friendly International
Croatia U19 vs Italy U19
0:0
Sep 10, 2024 Friendly International
Croatia U19 vs Italy U19
2:2
Aug 14, 2018 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Croatia U19
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Italy U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luongo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia U19 36 / 100
Italy U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia U19 Italy U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Croatia U19 scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Italy U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Croatia U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Croatia U19 VS Italy U19
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia U19

(Home)
04 Oct
Croatia U19
2 : 0
Turkey U19
01 Oct
Croatia U19
0 : 1
Italy U19
28 Sept
Croatia U19
1 : 2
France U19
08 Jul
Spain U19
3 : 0
Croatia U19
05 Jul
Serbia U19
0 : 3
Croatia U19
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Italy U19

(Away)
01 Oct
Croatia U19
0 : 1
Italy U19
28 Sept
Italy U19
3 : 0
Turkey U19
25 Sept
France U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
08 Jul
Denmark U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
05 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
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