Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Croatia U21 vs Greece U21

World World

Friendly International Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas, Koprivnica
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Sarris G.
36' Event
Pnevmonidis S.
39' Event
Kardum B.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Croatia U21 and Greece U21 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Croatia U21
33%
Draws
27%
Greece U21
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Croatia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Croatia U21 come out ahead of Greece U21 on wins alone.
  • Croatia U21 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Croatia U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Greece U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia U21 Greece U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2 3
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Friendly International
Croatia U21 vs Greece U21
1:1
Oct 15, 2024 Euro U21
Croatia U21 vs Greece U21
3:2
Oct 13, 2023 Euro U21
Greece U21 vs Croatia U21
2:2
Oct 13, 2020 Euro U21
Greece U21 vs Croatia U21
0:1
Sep 3, 2020 Euro U21
Croatia U21 vs Greece U21
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kardum B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Greece U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pnevmonidis S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia U21 50 / 100
Greece U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia U21 Greece U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Croatia U21 scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Croatia U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Greece U21 has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Croatia U21 VS Greece U21
2 Goals Scored 3
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia U21

(Home)
06 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 2
Ireland U21
03 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 0
Qatar U23
30 May
Croatia U21
1 : 1
Greece U21
31 Mar
Croatia U21
3 : 0
Turkey U21
18 Nov
Hungary U21
0 : 2
Croatia U21
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Greece U21

(Away)
30 May
Croatia U21
1 : 1
Greece U21
27 May
Greece U21
1 : 2
Qatar U23
31 Mar
Greece U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
27 Mar
Greece U21
5 : 0
Malta U21
18 Nov
Greece U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
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