Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 SRC Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica

Croatia U21

4 - 0

Lithuania U21

Our Tip

Match Events

Krivak F.

Zvonarek L.

18'

Zevzikovas D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Croatia U21 and Lithuania U21 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Croatia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Croatia U21

35%

Draws

14%

Lithuania U21

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Croatia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Croatia U21 come out ahead of Lithuania U21 on wins alone.
Win probability leans Croatia U21's way, sitting at 90%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 3 times recently and Croatia U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Croatia U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Lithuania U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Croatia U21	Lithuania U21
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	16	2
Draws	7	6
Losses	6	21
Goals Scored	1.97	0.79
Goals Conceded	1.34	2.24
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 Euro U21

Croatia U21 vs Lithuania U21

4:0

Nov 17, 2020 Euro U21

Croatia U21 vs Lithuania U21

7:0

Nov 14, 2019 Euro U21

Lithuania U21 vs Croatia U21

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Grgic L.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Krivak F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Lithuania U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46

Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia U21 95 / 100

Lithuania U21 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Croatia U21 Lithuania U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia U21 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Croatia U21 scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Lithuania U21 let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Croatia U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Croatia U21 VS Lithuania U21

2 Goals Scored 0.63

0.38 Goals Conceded 2.25

75% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia U21

(Home)

06 Jun

Croatia U21

2 : 2

Ireland U21

03 Jun

Croatia U21

2 : 0

Qatar U23

30 May

Croatia U21

1 : 1

Greece U21

31 Mar

Croatia U21

3 : 0

Turkey U21

18 Nov

Hungary U21

0 : 2

Croatia U21

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Lithuania U21

(Away)

09 Jun

Lithuania U21

2 : 2

Latvia U21

07 Jun

Estonia U21

2 : 2

Lithuania U21

27 Mar

Ukraine U21

1 : 1

Lithuania U21

18 Nov

Lithuania U21

1 : 2

Turkey U21

13 Nov

Croatia U21

4 : 0

Lithuania U21

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