Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Croatia U21 vs Sweden U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stadion ŠRC Zaprešić, Zaprešić
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kusi Asare J.
Penalty Missed
17' Event
Bjorklund L.
46'
Sub
Kavelj A. In: Krivak F.
Out: Kavelj A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Croatia U21 and Sweden U21 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Croatia U21
30%
Draws
27%
Sweden U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Croatia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Croatia U21 come out ahead of Sweden U21 on wins alone.
  • Croatia U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Croatia U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Sweden U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia U21 Sweden U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 Friendly International
Croatia U21 vs Sweden U21
1:1
Jun 11, 2024 Friendly International
Croatia U21 vs Sweden U21
2:5
Oct 10, 2016 Euro U21
Sweden U21 vs Croatia U21
4:2
Sep 1, 2016 Euro U21
Croatia U21 vs Sweden U21
1:1
Mar 24, 2013 Friendly International
Croatia U21 vs Sweden U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Topic F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sweden U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjorklund L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia U21 85 / 100
Sweden U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia U21 Sweden U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Croatia U21 scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Croatia U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Sweden U21 conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Croatia U21 VS Sweden U21
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia U21

(Home)
06 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 2
Ireland U21
03 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 0
Qatar U23
30 May
Croatia U21
1 : 1
Greece U21
31 Mar
Croatia U21
3 : 0
Turkey U21
18 Nov
Hungary U21
0 : 2
Croatia U21
Page 1 of 6

Sweden U21

(Away)
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4
Italy U21
27 Mar
Sweden U21
2 : 2
Montenegro U21
18 Nov
Armenia U21
0 : 1
Sweden U21
13 Nov
North Macedonia U21
1 : 4
Sweden U21
Page 1 of 6