Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Croatia Zmijavci vs Karlovac

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Stadion ŠRC Marijan Šuto Mrma, Zmijavci
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Paracki G.
41'
Sub
Paracki G. In: Raguz P.
Out: Paracki G.
44' Event
Gadze G.

AI Match Summary

The Prva NL 2025/2026 game between Croatia Zmijavci and Karlovac finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Croatia Zmijavci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Croatia Zmijavci
6%
Draws
4%
Karlovac
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Croatia Zmijavci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Croatia Zmijavci carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Croatia Zmijavci taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Croatia Zmijavci Clean Sheet 68%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia Zmijavci Karlovac
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Prva NL
Croatia Zmijavci vs Karlovac
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Prva NL
Croatia Zmijavci vs Karlovac
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 Prva NL
Karlovac vs Croatia Zmijavci
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia Zmijavci Compare

Top Goalscorer Gadze G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gudelj T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Karlovac Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia Zmijavci 95 / 100
Karlovac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia Zmijavci Karlovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Croatia Zmijavci found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Karlovac let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Croatia Zmijavci stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Croatia Zmijavci VS Karlovac
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia Zmijavci

(Home)
18 Jul
Croatia Zmijavci
2 : 1
Siroki Brijeg
30 May
Bijelo Brdo
0 : 1
Croatia Zmijavci
24 May
Croatia Zmijavci
3 : 0
Hrvace
15 May
Opatija
3 : 1
Croatia Zmijavci
10 May
Croatia Zmijavci
1 : 2
Jarun
Page 1 of 6

Karlovac

(Away)
25 Jul
Karlovac
2 : 1
NK Krka
22 Jul
Karlovac
0 : 1
Opatija
18 Jul
Segesta
4 : 0
Karlovac
15 Jul
Karlovac
0 : 0
Sesvete
29 May
Opatija
3 : 1
Karlovac
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rudes33198649:2965
2Cibalia33177951:3358
3Sesvete33169842:2857
4Dugopolje331661140:3854
5Dubrava Zagreb331381239:4647
6Bijelo Brdo331191330:3042
7Karlovac331331740:4542
8Opatija3310101331:3840
9Orijent339111340:4138
10Hrvace331061736:4836
11Croatia Zmijavci33981632:4635
12Jarun33891634:4233
Relegation - Druga NL (Main)
Promotion - HNL (Main)