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Crotone vs Casarano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crotone host Casarano in the Serie C - Group C. Little to choose between these two on current form. Crotone have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Casarano's 1.5 scored and 1.17 conceded. Head-to-head, Crotone have won 2 to Casarano's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.38, favoring Crotone. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Crotone
30%
Draws
39%
Casarano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Casarano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Casarano come out ahead of Crotone on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Crotone taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Crotone Clean Sheet 17%
Casarano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crotone Casarano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Crotone
1:2
Dec 15, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Casarano
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crotone 36 / 100
Casarano 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crotone Casarano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Casarano let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Crotone stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crotone VS Casarano
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crotone

(Home)
10 Oct
Crotone
2 : 3
Audace Cerignola
03 Oct
Catania
2 : 1
Crotone
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1
Salernitana
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
Page 1 of 6

Casarano

(Away)
11 Oct
Casarano
0 : 0
Salernitana
03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0
Casarano
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 9 7 1 1 24:12 22
2 Bari 9 6 1 2 13:6 19
3 Sorrento 9 6 0 3 14:10 18
4 Catania 9 5 1 3 17:10 16
5 Casertana 9 4 3 2 15:13 15
6 Audace Cerignola 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 Inter U23 8 4 1 3 16:13 13
8 Scafatese 8 3 4 1 13:11 13
9 Salernitana 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Picerno 9 4 0 5 17:17 12
11 Cavese 9 3 3 3 15:15 12
12 Monopoli 9 3 3 3 7:7 12
13 Foggia 9 3 2 4 9:10 11
14 Casarano 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
15 A.C. Savoia 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
16 Barletta 9 1 5 3 12:15 8
17 Altamura 9 2 2 5 4:13 8
18 Giugliano 9 2 1 6 12:22 7
19 Cosenza 9 1 2 6 7:19 5
20 Crotone 9 1 3 5 10:15 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)