Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crotone vs Cosenza

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Achour S.
83' Event
Pozzi A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Crotone
30%
Draws
23%
Cosenza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crotone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cosenza have won more games recently than Crotone.
  • Win probability leans Crotone's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Cosenza arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cosenza, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Crotone Clean Sheet 68%
Cosenza Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crotone Cosenza
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.41 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Crotone vs Cosenza
0:2
Jan 19, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Crotone
0:2
Sep 7, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Cosenza
0:0
Feb 23, 2022 Serie B
Crotone vs Cosenza
3:3
Sep 25, 2021 Serie B
Cosenza vs Crotone
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crotone Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Cosenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Achour S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pozzi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crotone 77 / 100
Cosenza 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crotone Cosenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crotone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Cosenza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Cosenza lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crotone VS Cosenza
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crotone

(Home)
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2
Barletta
29 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Crotone
24 Aug
Crotone
0 : 1
Foggia
Page 1 of 6

Cosenza

(Away)
15 Sept
Giugliano
5 : 2
Cosenza
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0
Cosenza
02 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Cosenza
29 Aug
Cosenza
1 : 2
Potenza
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -