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Stadium Background

Crotone vs Foggia

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Romeo F.
27'
Tommasini C.
35'
Petermann D.

AI Match Summary

Crotone in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crotone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Crotone
33%
Draws
27%
Foggia
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Crotone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Foggia haven't matched Crotone's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Crotone's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Crotone have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Crotone Clean Sheet 20%
Foggia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crotone Foggia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.88 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Foggia
3:1
Oct 28, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Crotone vs Foggia
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Crotone
0:3
Apr 14, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Foggia
3:2
Nov 30, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Crotone
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crotone Compare

Top Goalscorer Piovanello E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Musso A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Foggia Compare

Top Goalscorer Romeo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crotone 40 / 100
Foggia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crotone Foggia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Foggia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Crotone stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crotone VS Foggia
1.88 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 13%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crotone

(Home)
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1
Crotone
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1
Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5
Latina
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2
Crotone
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0
Catania
Page 1 of 7

Foggia

(Away)
26 Apr
Foggia
1 : 3
Salernitana
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
12 Apr
Foggia
1 : 1
Siracusa
04 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Foggia
29 Mar
Foggia
1 : 0
Trapani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)