Sport Picks
Crotone vs Salernitana
Italy
Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone 
Match Events
32'
32'
Matino E.
46'
46'
Sub
de Boer K. In: Tascone M.
Out: de Boer K.
46'
46'
Sub
Molina J. I. In: Longobardi G.
Out: Molina J. I.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Crotone and Salernitana finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salernitana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salernitana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Crotone haven't matched Salernitana's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Crotone Clean Sheet 13%
Salernitana Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crotone | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.01 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Salernitana
0:1
Nov 10, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Salernitana vs Crotone
0:0
Jul 17, 2020 Serie B
Crotone vs Salernitana
1:1
Dec 15, 2019 Serie B
Salernitana vs Crotone
3:2
Mar 10, 2019 Serie B
Salernitana vs Crotone
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crotone Compare
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51
Salernitana Compare
Top Goalscorer Achik I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crotone 31 / 100
Salernitana 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crotone Salernitana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Salernitana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crotone's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Salernitana conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Crotone went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Crotone VS Salernitana
1.14 Goals Scored 1.88
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Crotone
(Home) 16 Aug
Crotone
0 : 2 Cosenza
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5 Latina
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2 Crotone
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Crotone
0 : 2 Cosenza
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5 Latina
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0 Catania
29 Mar
Crotone
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 3
Salernitana
(Away) 15 Aug
Salernitana
1 : 2 Scafatese
08 Aug
Salernitana
2 : 1 Sambiase
27 May
Union Brescia
2 : 0 Salernitana
24 May
Salernitana
1 : 1 Union Brescia
20 May
Ravenna
0 : 2 Salernitana
Page 1 of 6
27 May
Union Brescia
2 : 0 Salernitana
20 May
Ravenna
0 : 2 Salernitana
10 May
Casertana
2 : 3 Salernitana
26 Apr
Foggia
1 : 3 Salernitana
12 Apr
Trapani
1 : 2 Salernitana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
