Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crown Legacy vs New York City II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Sportsplex at Matthews
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Reid S.
13'
Coulibaly B.
15' Event
Flax C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Crown Legacy and New York City II finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New York City II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Crown Legacy
6%
Draws
90%
New York City II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New York City II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Crown Legacy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on New York City II taking it.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Crown Legacy Clean Sheet 12%
New York City II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crown Legacy New York City II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 0 0
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy vs New York City II
0:3
Mar 8, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy vs New York City II
2:3
Apr 28, 2024 MLS Next Pro
New York City II vs Crown Legacy
1:3
Jul 23, 2023 MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy vs New York City II
4:3
May 1, 2023 MLS Next Pro
New York City II vs Crown Legacy
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crown Legacy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

New York City II Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crown Legacy 10 / 100
New York City II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crown Legacy New York City II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NYC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: New York City II conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Crown Legacy scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Crown Legacy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crown Legacy VS New York City II
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 218130533:2936
2New York Red Bulls II18100839:2732
3New England Revolution II17110623:2032
4New York City II1690727:2328
5Philadelphia Union II1890921:2126
6CT United FC1790831:3125
7Toronto FC II18701127:3522
8FC Cincinnati 217501216:3114
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy17120541:2534
2Orlando City B18110739:3233
3Chattanooga18120634:2933
4Atlanta United 21790838:2630
5Chicago Fire II1790827:2427
6Huntsville City17701029:3522
7Carolina Core19501422:3218
8Inter Miami II16101514:415
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 218110723:2234
2Ventura County18100832:2729
3Los Angeles FC 21790828:2829
4San Jose Earthquakes II1690737:1928
5Real Monarchs18100829:3126
6Tacoma Defiance18801019:2424
7Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II17130436:1640
2Houston Dynamo 216130337:1437
3Minnesota United 219100928:3129
4St. Louis City 218100829:3029
5North Texas1670926:2122
6Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
7Colorado Rapids 218301516:3512
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 218130533:2936
2Crown Legacy17120541:2534
3Orlando City B18110739:3233
4Chattanooga18120634:2933
5New York Red Bulls II18100839:2732
6New England Revolution II17110623:2032
7Atlanta United 21790838:2630
8New York City II1690727:2328
9Chicago Fire II1790827:2427
10Philadelphia Union II1890921:2126
11CT United FC1790831:3125
12Toronto FC II18701127:3522
13Huntsville City17701029:3522
14Carolina Core19501422:3218
15FC Cincinnati 217501216:3114
16Inter Miami II16101514:415
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II17130436:1640
2Houston Dynamo 216130337:1437
3Portland Timbers 218110723:2234
4Minnesota United 219100928:3129
5Ventura County18100832:2729
6Los Angeles FC 21790828:2829
7St. Louis City 218100829:3029
8San Jose Earthquakes II1690737:1928
9Real Monarchs18100829:3126
10Tacoma Defiance18801019:2424
11North Texas1670926:2122
12Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
13Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
14Colorado Rapids 218301516:3512