Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2009/2010

Worthing FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Croydon Athletic play Worthing FC in the FA Cup 2009/2010. Worthing FC are favorites here. Recently, Croydon Athletic averaged 1 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Worthing FC averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Croydon Athletic won 0, Worthing FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 12, 2009 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Croydon Athletic and 3.25 for Worthing FC. This points to a Worthing FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Croydon Athletic

16%

Draws

64%

Worthing FC

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Worthing FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Croydon Athletic picked up more points recently compared to Worthing FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 3.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Croydon Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Worthing FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Croydon Athletic	Worthing FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	14
Draws	2	8
Losses	22	8
Goals Scored	1	2.1
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	5.00	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2009 FA Cup

Croydon Athletic vs Worthing FC

Possession: 54% - 40% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croydon Athletic 20 / 100

Worthing FC 60 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Croydon Athletic Worthing FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Worthing FC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Worthing FC & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +66.6%

8.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Croydon Athletic attacking → ← attacking Worthing FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croydon Athletic scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Worthing FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Croydon Athletic went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Worthing FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 50

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

5.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75