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Croydon vs Adelaide Utd U23

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Regency Park, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Trimboli L.
50' Event
Trimboli L.
64' Event
Styles E.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between Croydon and Adelaide Utd U23 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Croydon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Croydon
30%
Draws
54%
Adelaide Utd U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Adelaide Utd U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Adelaide Utd U23 haven't matched Croydon's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Adelaide Utd U23 a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Croydon Clean Sheet 16%
Adelaide Utd U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croydon Adelaide Utd U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.87 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs Adelaide Utd U23
3:0
Mar 29, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs Croydon
1:1
Jun 21, 2025 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs Adelaide Utd U23
4:1
Mar 23, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs Croydon
3:2
Jun 15, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs Croydon
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croydon Compare

Top Goalscorer Trimboli L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Styles E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Adelaide Utd U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croydon 15 / 100
Adelaide Utd U23 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croydon Adelaide Utd U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adelaide Utd U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Croydon's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Adelaide Utd U23 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Croydon has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Croydon VS Adelaide Utd U23
2.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Croydon

(Home)
22 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0
Croydon
15 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0
Croydon
08 Aug
Croydon
1 : 1
Sturt Lions FC
01 Aug
FK Beograd
4 : 3
Croydon
25 Jul
Croydon
2 : 2
Campbelltown City
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Adelaide Utd U23

(Away)
15 Aug
West Torrens Birkalla
2 : 1
Adelaide Utd U23
08 Aug
Adelaide Utd U23
5 : 2
Para
01 Aug
MetroStars
1 : 1
Adelaide Utd U23
25 Jul
Adelaide Utd U23
2 : 3
Sturt Lions FC
19 Jul
FK Beograd
0 : 2
Adelaide Utd U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)