Sport Picks
Croydon vs Adelaide Utd U23
Australia
NPL South Australia Regency Park 
AI Match Summary
Croydon play Adelaide Utd U23 in the NPL South Australia. It looks like a close match. Recently, Croydon averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Adelaide Utd U23 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Croydon won 3, Adelaide Utd U23 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 26, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Croydon and 1.75 for Adelaide Utd U23. This points to a Croydon double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Croydon picked up more points recently compared to Adelaide Utd U23.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.75 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Croydon | Adelaide Utd U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Croydon Compare
Adelaide Utd U23 Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Croydon scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Adelaide Utd U23 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Croydon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Adelaide Utd U23 lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MetroStars | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 48:18 | 37 |
| 2 | Adelaide City | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 33:14 | 35 |
| 3 | West Torrens Birkalla | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:26 | 33 |
| 4 | FK Beograd | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31:19 | 30 |
| 5 | Croydon | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38:30 | 27 |
| 6 | Playford Patriots | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 35:26 | 26 |
| 7 | Adelaide Utd U23 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22:24 | 22 |
| 8 | Sturt Lions FC | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 30:30 | 21 |
| 9 | Campbelltown City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27:29 | 19 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 33:34 | 18 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 19:34 | 13 |
| 12 | Para | 17 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9:75 | 2 |