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Croydon vs FK Beograd

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Regency Park, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Konstandopoulos J.
27' Event
Konstandopoulos J.

AI Match Summary

FK Beograd in this NPL South Australia matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Beograd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Croydon
20%
Draws
48%
FK Beograd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Beograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Beograd lately — more wins on the board than Croydon.
  • Model gives Croydon a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FK Beograd have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Croydon Clean Sheet 10%
FK Beograd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croydon FK Beograd
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.81 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Croydon
4:3
May 9, 2026 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs FK Beograd
0:2
Aug 2, 2025 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs FK Beograd
0:2
May 11, 2025 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Croydon
3:1
Aug 9, 2024 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Croydon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croydon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

FK Beograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Konstandopoulos J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croydon 65 / 100
FK Beograd 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croydon FK Beograd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croydon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Croydon's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

FK Beograd has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: FK Beograd has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Croydon VS FK Beograd
3 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Croydon

(Home)
22 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0
Croydon
15 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0
Croydon
08 Aug
Croydon
1 : 1
Sturt Lions FC
01 Aug
FK Beograd
4 : 3
Croydon
25 Jul
Croydon
2 : 2
Campbelltown City
Page 1 of 7

FK Beograd

(Away)
22 Aug
Playford Patriots
3 : 0
FK Beograd
15 Aug
FK Beograd
0 : 3
Adelaide City
07 Aug
Campbelltown City
2 : 0
FK Beograd
01 Aug
FK Beograd
4 : 3
Croydon
25 Jul
Adelaide Comets
1 : 0
FK Beograd
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)