Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Croydon vs West Adelaide

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Regency Park, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ivanic M.
15' Event
Gollan C.
79' Event
Trimboli O.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between Croydon and West Adelaide finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward West Adelaide.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Croydon
30%
Draws
54%
West Adelaide
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: West Adelaide

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Croydon come out ahead of West Adelaide on wins alone.
  • Model gives Croydon a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Croydon Clean Sheet 10%
West Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croydon West Adelaide
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.85 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs Croydon
5:5
Mar 21, 2026 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs West Adelaide
1:2
Jul 8, 2023 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs West Adelaide
3:1
Apr 22, 2023 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs Croydon
1:0
Jul 20, 2019 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs Croydon
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croydon Compare

Top Goalscorer Trimboli O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

West Adelaide Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gollan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croydon 34 / 100
West Adelaide 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croydon West Adelaide

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Croydon scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

West Adelaide has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Croydon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Croydon VS West Adelaide
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Croydon

(Home)
22 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0
Croydon
15 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0
Croydon
08 Aug
Croydon
1 : 1
Sturt Lions FC
01 Aug
FK Beograd
4 : 3
Croydon
25 Jul
Croydon
2 : 2
Campbelltown City
Page 1 of 7

West Adelaide

(Away)
15 Aug
West Adelaide
1 : 2
Playford Patriots
07 Aug
West Torrens Birkalla
6 : 1
West Adelaide
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1
Para
25 Jul
MetroStars
1 : 3
West Adelaide
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0
Sturt Lions FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)