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Crumlin Star vs Oxford Stars

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crumlin Star play Oxford Stars in the Irish Cup 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Crumlin Star averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Oxford Stars averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Crumlin Star won 2, Oxford Stars won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 30, 2017 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.75 for Crumlin Star and 1.25 for Oxford Stars. This points to a Crumlin Star double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Crumlin Star
15%
Draws
31%
Oxford Stars
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crumlin Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Crumlin Star picked up more points recently compared to Oxford Stars.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.75 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Crumlin Star Clean Sheet 19%
Oxford Stars Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crumlin Star Oxford Stars
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 14
Draws 0 1
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.43 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2017 Irish Cup
Crumlin Star vs Oxford Stars
5:0
Jan 9, 2016 Irish Cup
Crumlin Star vs Oxford Stars
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crumlin Star 52 / 100
Oxford Stars 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crumlin Star Oxford Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crumlin Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Crumlin Star & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Crumlin Star attacking → ← attacking Oxford Stars

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crumlin Star scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Oxford Stars let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Crumlin Star went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Oxford Stars lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 43
3.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25