Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crumlin United vs Donegal

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Crumlin United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Crumlin United
15%
Draws
0%
Donegal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crumlin United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Donegal haven't matched Crumlin United's recent run of results.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Donegal taking it.
  • Crumlin United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Crumlin United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Crumlin United Clean Sheet 20%
Donegal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crumlin United Donegal
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 2
Draws 0 3
Losses 17 25
Goals Scored 1.94 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.61 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2017 Irish Cup
Crumlin United vs Donegal
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crumlin United 20 / 100
Donegal 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crumlin United Donegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Donegal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Donegal conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Donegal lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Crumlin United scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Crumlin United VS Donegal
2.13 Goals Scored 0.33
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.33
100% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 33%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Crumlin United

(Home)
13 Jul
Crumlin United
0 : 5
Cliftonville
05 Jul
Crumlin United
1 : 8
Ballyclare
27 Jul
Crumlin United
0 : 4
Crusaders
16 Jul
Crumlin United
0 : 8
Cliftonville
10 Jul
Crumlin United
1 : 0
Ballymena
Page 1 of 7

Donegal

(Away)
17 Aug
Crewe
:
Donegal
30 Sept
Crumlin United
2 : 0
Donegal
29 Aug
Glenavon
5 : 1
Donegal
30 Aug
Portadown
6 : 1
Donegal
20 Aug
Donegal
1 : 3
Oxford Stars
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Coleraine -
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Foundry -
TBD -
St. Marys 1
Bryansburn 3
Cookstown Youth -
TBD -
Bloomfield 1
Craigavon City 3
Newtowne FC 3
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
TBD -
Desertmartin -
Newington FC -
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Lisburn Distillery -
Knockbreda -
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Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation -
TBD -
Seapatrick 1
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Islandmagee 4
Fivemiletown 1
Iveagh Utd 0
Ards Rangers 9
Laurelvale 6
Broomhedge 1
Bangor Old Boys 2
Tullyvallen Rangers 3
Downshire Y.M. 3
Malachians 2
TBD -
Moyola -
Immaculata 3
Abbey Villa 0
Seagoe 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 12
Rosario Youth -
Ballynahinch United -
TBD -
Brantwood -
Valley Rangers 5
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Magherafelt -
Colin Valley -
Donegal -
TBD -
Silverwood 2
Crumlin United 3
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Ballinamallard -
Dundela -
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Richhill 2
Ardstraw 10
Windmill 2
St. James' Swifts 1
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Rathfriland Rangers 8
Barn 3
Dunmurry Y.M. 0
Orangefield Old Boys' 3
Strabane Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
Newcastle -
Killyleagh Youth 5
Newbuildings 1
Moneyslane FC 1
Sirocco 4
Dunmurry Rec 4
Dromore Amateurs 0
TBD -
Tobermore -
Banbridge -
TBD -
Cookstown RBL 1
Dromara 2
Dungiven 3
Suffolk 2
TBD -
Queens University -
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 3
Dollingstown 1
Groomsport 1
Lurgan Town Boys 3
Lisburn Rangers 5
Rathfern Rangers 4
Saintfield 2
Tandragee 4
Portaferry Rovers 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 1
TBD -
Mossley FC -
Dunloy 3
Banbridge Rangers 1
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Portstewart -
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Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 2
Bangor FC 0
St Luke's 1
Rosemount Rec 3
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Comber Rec 2
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U. U. Jordanstown -
St. Patricks Young 2
Lower Maze 1
TBD -
Wellington Rec -
Markethill 2
Grove 1
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Annagh -
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Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 4
Ballymacash 3
Bourneview Mill 1
Derriaghy 3
Drumaness 3
Crewe 2
Chimney 2
Hanover 8
Armagh -
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Ballymoney 1
Coagh Utd 6
Oxford Stars 4
Trojans 3
Shorts 1
Crumlin Star 9
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/128-finals
Coleraine -
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Foundry 4
Bryansburn 3
Cookstown Youth 6
Craigavon City 7
Newtowne FC 4
Desertmartin 2
Newington FC 0
Lisburn Distillery 3
Knockbreda -
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Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation 6
Ballynure Old Boys 3
Islandmagee 1
Ards Rangers 2
Laurelvale 5
Tullyvallen Rangers 2
Downshire Y.M. 1
Moyola 10
Immaculata 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Rosario Youth 4
Brantwood 0
Valley Rangers 4
Colin Valley 1
Donegal 0
Crumlin United 2
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Ballinamallard -
Dundela 6
Ardstraw 2
Windmill 0
Sport & Leisure 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Orangefield Old Boys' 1
Strabane Athletic 1
Newcastle 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Sirocco 0
Dunmurry Rec 0
Tobermore 7
Banbridge 1
Dromara 0
Dungiven 2
Queens University 7
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 7
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Lisburn Rangers 2
Tandragee 3
Portaferry Rovers 2
Mossley FC 0
Dunloy 1
Portstewart 2
TBD -
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Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 3
Rosemount Rec 0
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
U. U. Jordanstown 2
St. Patricks Young 3
Wellington Rec 2
Markethill 2
Annagh 4
TBD -
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TBD -
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Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 2
Derriaghy 1
Drumaness 0
Hanover 2
Armagh 2
Coagh Utd 0
Oxford Stars 0
Crumlin Star 5
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/64-finals
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Foundry 4
Craigavon City 1
Newtowne FC 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Knockbreda -
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Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation 3
Ards Rangers 2
Laurelvale 0
Moyola 5
Immaculata 3
Brantwood 1
Valley Rangers 0
Crumlin United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Dundela 2
Sport & Leisure 0
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Newcastle 3
Killyleagh Youth 3
Tobermore 1
Banbridge 1
Queens University 2
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
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TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 2
Tandragee 1
Portaferry Rovers 1
Portstewart 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Newry City -
TBD -
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TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 11
U. U. Jordanstown 0
St. Patricks Young 2
Annagh 5
TBD -
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TBD -
Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 3
Hanover 2
Armagh 1
Crumlin Star 2
PSNI -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Loughgall -
1/32-finals
Coleraine -
TBD -
Foundry 1
Lisburn Distillery 3
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Ballywalter Recreation 0
Moyola 2
Immaculata 4
Crumlin United 2
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Dundela 5
Newcastle 0
Killyleagh Youth 1
Queens University 3
Dergview -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 2
Portstewart 1
TBD -
Crusaders -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 2
Annagh 1
TBD -
Linfield -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ards -
TBD -
Shankill 0
Crumlin Star 4
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
1/16-finals
Coleraine 7
Lisburn Distillery 0
Knockbreda 0
Institute 2
Ballyclare 2
Portadown 1
Lurgan Celtic 1
Glentoran 2
Ballymena 4
Moyola 0
Immaculata 2
Ballinamallard 4
Dundela 1
Queens University 0
Dergview 0
Larne 3
Cliftonville 4
Warrenpoint 3
Maiden City 0
Crusaders 2
Newry City 2
Harland & Wolff 0
Glebe 0
Linfield 5
Glenavon 3
Carrick Rangers 1
Limavady 0
Dungannon 4
Ards 4
Crumlin Star 1
PSNI 1
Loughgall 4
1/8-finals
Coleraine 4
Institute 0
Ballyclare 0
Glentoran 4
Ballymena 3
Ballinamallard 2
Dundela 1
Larne 6
Cliftonville 4
Crusaders 1
Newry City 0
Linfield 1
Glenavon 3
Dungannon 0
Ards 1
Loughgall 2
Quarter-finals
Coleraine 1
Glentoran 0
Ballymena 1
Larne 2
Cliftonville 1
Linfield 0
Glenavon 1
Loughgall 2
Semi-finals
Coleraine 3
Larne 1
Cliftonville 4
Loughgall 1
Final
Coleraine 3
Cliftonville 1