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Crumlin United vs Glenavon

World World

Club Friendly 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Patton M.
48' Event
O'Mahony J.
50' Event
Foley A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2017 game between Crumlin United and Glenavon finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Glenavon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Crumlin United
20%
Draws
58%
Glenavon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Glenavon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crumlin United come out ahead of Glenavon on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Glenavon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Crumlin United Clean Sheet 20%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crumlin United Glenavon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 0 7
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2023 Club Friendly
Crumlin United vs Glenavon
0:1
Jul 1, 2017 Club Friendly
Crumlin United vs Glenavon
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crumlin United Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorman R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Donnelly M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Glenavon Compare

Top Goalscorer Foley A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Patton M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crumlin United 10 / 100
Glenavon 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crumlin United Glenavon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glenavon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glenavon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Crumlin United's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Crumlin United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Glenavon
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Crumlin United

(Home)
13 Jul
Crumlin United
0 : 5
Cliftonville
05 Jul
Crumlin United
1 : 8
Ballyclare
27 Jul
Crumlin United
0 : 4
Crusaders
16 Jul
Crumlin United
0 : 8
Cliftonville
10 Jul
Crumlin United
1 : 0
Ballymena
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Glenavon

(Away)
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0
Newington FC
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2
Glenavon
28 Aug
Glenavon
3 : 1
Rathfriland Rangers
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2
Glenavon
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