Sport Picks
Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Northern Ireland
NIFL Premiership Seaview, Belfast 
AI Match Summary
Crusaders host Carrick Rangers in the NIFL Premiership. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Carrick Rangers have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Crusaders have conceded 1.61 and scored 1.54. Past meetings favor Carrick Rangers slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.44 - 2.13) back Carrick Rangers to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Crusaders haven't matched Carrick Rangers's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Carrick Rangers's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crusaders | Carrick Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 2.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crusaders found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Carrick Rangers conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Crusaders went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Crusaders
(Home)Carrick Rangers
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linfield | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Coleraine | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 26:12 | 31 |
| 3 | Glentoran | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:10 | 20 |
| 4 | Larne | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 21:19 | 17 |
| 6 | Ballymena | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 7 | Crusaders | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 16:23 | 15 |
| 8 | Dungannon | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Cliftonville | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 13:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Limavady | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 11 | Portadown | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 12 | Bangor FC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10:24 | 6 |
