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Crusaders vs Newington FC Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Brooks A.
56' Event
Kelly A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Crusaders and Newington FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Crusaders
15%
Draws
53%
Newington FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newington FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Crusaders haven't matched Newington FC's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Crusaders have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 10%
Newington FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders Newington FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.54 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Crusaders vs Newington FC
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Crusaders vs Newington FC
5:4
Aug 1, 2024 Club Friendly
Crusaders vs Newington FC
3:0
Jan 10, 2015 Irish Cup
Crusaders vs Newington FC
6:0
Aug 26, 2013 Irish League Cup
Newington FC vs Crusaders
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Brooks A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Newington FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 30 / 100
Newington FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders Newington FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crusaders found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Newington FC has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Crusaders stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS Newington FC
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
26 Sept
Crusaders
2 : 1
Bangor FC
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
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Newington FC

(Away)
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0
Newington FC
12 Sept
Newington FC
5 : 5
Dundela
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Newington FC
28 Aug
Strabane Athletic
1 : 2
Newington FC
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