Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crusaders vs Warrenpoint

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Brooks A.
77' Event
Bond K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Crusaders and Warrenpoint finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crusaders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Crusaders
15%
Draws
46%
Warrenpoint
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warrenpoint

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Crusaders carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Warrenpoint a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Crusaders here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 12%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders Warrenpoint
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.48 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Crusaders vs Warrenpoint
2:0
Oct 3, 2023 Irish League Cup
Warrenpoint vs Crusaders
0:5
Mar 19, 2022 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Warrenpoint
2:1
Jan 15, 2022 NIFL Premiership
Warrenpoint vs Crusaders
0:1
Oct 30, 2021 NIFL Premiership
Warrenpoint vs Crusaders
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Brooks A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bond K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Warrenpoint Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 27 / 100
Warrenpoint 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders Warrenpoint

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrenpoint Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Crusaders's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Warrenpoint's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Crusaders remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS Warrenpoint
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
29 Aug
Glentoran
1 : 2
Crusaders
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Warrenpoint

(Away)
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Newington FC
28 Aug
Loughgall
3 : 3
Warrenpoint
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3
Warrenpoint
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