Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crusaders vs Warrenpoint

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Brooks A.
77' Event
Bond K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Crusaders and Warrenpoint finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crusaders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Crusaders
6%
Draws
4%
Warrenpoint
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Crusaders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Warrenpoint carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Crusaders a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Crusaders here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 68%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crusaders Warrenpoint
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 2.13 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Crusaders vs Warrenpoint
2:0
Oct 3, 2023 Irish League Cup
Warrenpoint vs Crusaders
0:5
Mar 19, 2022 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Warrenpoint
2:1
Jan 15, 2022 NIFL Premiership
Warrenpoint vs Crusaders
0:1
Oct 30, 2021 NIFL Premiership
Warrenpoint vs Crusaders
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Brooks A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bond K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Warrenpoint Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crusaders 95 / 100
Warrenpoint 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crusaders Warrenpoint

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Crusaders stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Crusaders's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Warrenpoint conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Crusaders VS Warrenpoint
2.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Crusaders

(Home)
18 Jul
Crusaders
0 : 0
Ballinamallard
11 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
04 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2
Crusaders
01 May
Crusaders
2 : 2
Annagh
28 Apr
Annagh
2 : 3
Crusaders
Page 1 of 6

Warrenpoint

(Away)
11 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
04 Jul
Limavady
4 : 1
Warrenpoint
25 Apr
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Ards
18 Apr
Ballinamallard
0 : 1
Warrenpoint
11 Apr
Dundela
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
Page 1 of 6