Sport Picks
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Club Atletico Morelia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio 10 de Diciembre, Jasso 
Match Events
5'
5'
Nambo M.
Assist: Martinez J.
40'
40'
Aguilar D.
46'
46'
Sub
Saavedra Nevarez A. A. In: Samano L.
Out: Saavedra Nevarez A. A.
AI Match Summary
Club Atletico Morelia in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Atletico Morelia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Club Atletico Morelia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Club Atletico Morelia have won more games recently than Cruz Azul Hidalgo.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Clean Sheet 10%
Club Atletico Morelia Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | Club Atletico Morelia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Club Atletico Morelia
1:2
Mar 29, 2008 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0:0
Oct 27, 2007 Liga de Expansion MX
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Club Atletico Morelia
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Club Atletico Morelia Compare
Top Goalscorer Nambo M.
1 Goals Assists Leader De Buen D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 34 / 100
Club Atletico Morelia 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Club Atletico Morelia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Club Atletico Morelia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cruz Azul Hidalgo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Club Atletico Morelia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cruz Azul Hidalgo VS Club Atletico Morelia
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
(Home) 11 Oct
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 3 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
03 Oct
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Piratas
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Piratas
29 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
6 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
15 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Club Atletico Morelia
01 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Venados FC
Page 1 of 3
Club Atletico Morelia
(Away) 10 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
04 Oct
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
26 Sept
Venados FC
2 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
20 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0 Leones Negros
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
26 Sept
Venados FC
2 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
29 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
15 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Club Atletico Morelia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28:17 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:22 | 20 |
| 5 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 18 |
| 6 | Cancun | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11:11 | 18 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 15 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
