Sport Picks
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Leones Negros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio 10 de Diciembre, Jasso 
Match Events
23'
23'
Ramírez I.
Assist: Valdivia C.
34'
34'
Gil O.
37'
37'
Rubio R.
AI Match Summary
Leones Negros in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leones Negros.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leones Negros
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cruz Azul Hidalgo haven't matched Leones Negros's recent run of results.
- 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Clean Sheet 10%
Leones Negros Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Leones Negros
1:2
Jan 25, 2014 Liga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
2:0
Aug 11, 2013 Liga de Expansion MX
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Leones Negros
2:0
Mar 10, 2013 Liga de Expansion MX
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Leones Negros
0:1
Sep 29, 2012 Liga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramírez I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Leones Negros Compare
Top Goalscorer Razo L.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 30 / 100
Leones Negros 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Leones Negros
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leones Negros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leones Negros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cruz Azul Hidalgo VS Leones Negros
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
(Home) 03 Oct
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Piratas
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Piratas
29 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
6 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
15 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Club Atletico Morelia
01 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Venados FC
Page 1 of 3
Leones Negros
(Away) 04 Oct
Leones Negros
6 : 3 Dorados de Sinaloa
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
20 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0 Leones Negros
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2 Atletico La Paz
06 Sept
Tapatio
1 : 3 Leones Negros
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
20 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0 Leones Negros
06 Sept
Tapatio
1 : 3 Leones Negros
23 Aug
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 2 Leones Negros
02 Aug
Cancun
0 : 2 Leones Negros
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28:17 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:22 | 20 |
| 5 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 15 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
