Sport Picks
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tepatitlan de Morelos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio 10 de Diciembre, Jasso 
Match Events
8'
8'
Suarez J.
30'
30'
Sanchez E.
Assist: Taboada V.
42'
42'
Godinez J.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX game between Cruz Azul Hidalgo and Tepatitlan de Morelos finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruz Azul Hidalgo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tepatitlan de Morelos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tepatitlan de Morelos come out ahead of Cruz Azul Hidalgo on wins alone.
- Model gives Cruz Azul Hidalgo a 32% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Clean Sheet 16%
Tepatitlan de Morelos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | Tepatitlan de Morelos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Tepatitlan de Morelos
6:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Compare
Top Goalscorer Derbez L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sanchez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Tepatitlan de Morelos Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 57 / 100
Tepatitlan de Morelos 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Tepatitlan de Morelos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cruz Azul Hidalgo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 6.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Cruz Azul Hidalgo scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Tepatitlan de Morelos has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Tepatitlan de Morelos lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cruz Azul Hidalgo VS Tepatitlan de Morelos
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
(Home) 03 Oct
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Piratas
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Piratas
29 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
6 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
15 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Club Atletico Morelia
01 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Venados FC
Page 1 of 3
Tepatitlan de Morelos
(Away) 03 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
12 Sept
Venados FC
5 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
04 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 4 Dorados de Sinaloa
29 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
6 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Venados FC
5 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
29 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
6 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
14 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
01 Aug
Correcaminos
3 : 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos
31 May
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3 Tepatitlan de Morelos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 2 | Leones Negros | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
