Sport Picks
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Venados FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio 10 de Diciembre, Jasso 
Match Events
18'
18'
Sanchez E.
38'
38'
Lora S.
Assist: Reyes J.
45'
45'
Sanchez E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Venados FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Venados FC lately — more wins on the board than Cruz Azul Hidalgo.
- Win probability leans Venados FC's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Clean Sheet 10%
Venados FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | Venados FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Venados FC
1:1
Mar 23, 2014 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
3:1
Oct 20, 2013 Liga de Expansion MX
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Venados FC
0:0
Apr 7, 2013 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1:2
Oct 21, 2012 Liga de Expansion MX
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Venados FC
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Venados FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Lora S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 18 / 100
Venados FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Venados FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Venados FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Venados FC let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cruz Azul Hidalgo VS Venados FC
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
(Home) 11 Oct
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 3 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
03 Oct
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Piratas
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Piratas
29 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
6 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
15 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Club Atletico Morelia
01 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Venados FC
Page 1 of 3
Venados FC
(Away) 10 Oct
Venados FC
1 : 1 Leones Negros
03 Oct
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2 Venados FC
26 Sept
Venados FC
2 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
19 Sept
Piratas
2 : 1 Venados FC
12 Sept
Venados FC
5 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2 Venados FC
19 Sept
Piratas
2 : 1 Venados FC
06 Sept
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3 Venados FC
29 Aug
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Venados FC
15 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
5 : 1 Venados FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28:17 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:22 | 20 |
| 5 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 15 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
