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Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Zacatecas Mineros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio 10 de Diciembre, Jasso
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cruz Azul Hidalgo host Zacatecas Mineros in the Liga de Expansion MX. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Cruz Azul Hidalgo at 1.21 goals for, 1.18 against; Zacatecas Mineros at 1.63 for, 1.78 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.00) point toward Cruz Azul Hidalgo. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
20%
Draws
60%
Zacatecas Mineros
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zacatecas Mineros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zacatecas Mineros lately — more wins on the board than Cruz Azul Hidalgo.
  • 60% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Clean Sheet 10%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul Hidalgo Zacatecas Mineros
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul Hidalgo 30 / 100
Zacatecas Mineros 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Zacatecas Mineros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zacatecas Mineros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cruz Azul Hidalgo scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Zacatecas Mineros conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Difficult form: Zacatecas Mineros registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Cruz Azul Hidalgo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul Hidalgo VS Zacatecas Mineros
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

(Home)
03 Oct
Correcaminos
0 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2
Leones Negros
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1
Piratas
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Page 1 of 6

Zacatecas Mineros

(Away)
04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2
Zacatecas Mineros
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0
Piratas
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1
Zacatecas Mineros
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1
Club Atletico Morelia
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0
Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leones Negros 11 7 2 2 27:16 23
2 Club Atletico Morelia 11 7 1 3 21:12 22
3 Atletico La Paz 11 6 2 3 24:13 20
4 Venados FC 11 6 1 4 26:21 19
5 Piratas 11 5 3 3 16:10 18
6 Zacatecas Mineros 11 5 2 4 23:19 17
7 Cancun 11 5 2 4 19:15 17
8 Alacranes de Durango 11 5 2 4 11:11 17
9 Correcaminos 12 4 4 4 20:20 16
10 Tapatio 10 4 2 4 17:15 14
11 Dorados de Sinaloa 11 3 4 4 20:20 13
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 12 4 1 7 10:23 13
13 Tlaxcala 11 3 3 5 19:23 12
14 Jaiba Brava 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 11 1 5 5 11:18 8
16 Tepatitlan de Morelos 10 2 0 8 8:29 6
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)