Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cruz Azul U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Sat, Feb 21, 2026
2 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Espinosa S.
38' Event
Covarrubias D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Cruz Azul U21 and Guadalajara Chivas U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruz Azul U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Cruz Azul U21
15%
Draws
68%
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Cruz Azul U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Liga MX U21
Cruz Azul U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Cruz Azul U21
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruz Azul U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinosa S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Guadalajara Chivas U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Covarrubias D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul U21 36 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas U21 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Cruz Azul U21 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Guadalajara Chivas U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Cruz Azul U21 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul U21 VS Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruz Azul U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3
Toluca U21
19 Sept
Monterrey U21
2 : 0
Cruz Azul U21
12 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
1 : 2
Club America U21
06 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
4 : 0
Santos Laguna U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
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Guadalajara Chivas U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4
Queretaro U21
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
29 Aug
Pachuca U21
2 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)