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Cruz Azul vs Atlas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Zaldivar E.
Assist: Lopes L.
45' Event
Monzon F.
Assist: Lopes L.
46'
Sub
Ebere C. In: Romero L.
Out: Ebere C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Cruz Azul and Atlas finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atlas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cruz Azul
35%
Draws
32%
Atlas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cruz Azul come out ahead of Atlas on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cruz Azul a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 13%
Atlas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul Atlas
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.65 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Atlas
0:2
May 10, 2026 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Atlas
1:0
May 3, 2026 Liga MX
Atlas vs Cruz Azul
2:3
Jan 14, 2026 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Atlas
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 Liga MX
Atlas vs Cruz Azul
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruz Azul Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Atlas Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaldivar E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Monzon F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul 39 / 100
Atlas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul Atlas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruz Azul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Azul found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Atlas let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Cruz Azul remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul VS Atlas
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruz Azul

(Home)
02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0
Cruz Azul
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3
Toluca
20 Sept
Monterrey
1 : 0
Cruz Azul
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Cruz Azul
13 Sept
Cruz Azul
4 : 3
Club America
Page 1 of 7

Atlas

(Away)
26 Sept
Club Tijuana
2 : 3
Atlas
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
12 Sept
Toluca
5 : 2
Atlas
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)