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Cruz Azul vs Club America - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Lira E.
Assist: Paradela J.
29'
Sub
Espinoza D. In: Borja C.
Out: Espinoza D.
35' Event
Paradela J.
Assist: Rodriguez C.

AI Match Summary

Cruz Azul in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cruz Azul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cruz Azul
35%
Draws
32%
Club America
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Club America haven't matched Cruz Azul's recent run of results.
  • Cruz Azul are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 10%
Club America Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul Club America
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.68 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Club America vs Cruz Azul
0:0
Sep 13, 2026 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Club America
4:3
Apr 12, 2026 Liga MX
Club America vs Cruz Azul
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Club America
2:1
May 19, 2025 Liga MX
Club America vs Cruz Azul
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruz Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Lira E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paradela J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Club America Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perea O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul 34 / 100
Club America 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul Club America

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Azul scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Club America's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cruz Azul stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul VS Club America
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruz Azul

(Home)
02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0
Cruz Azul
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3
Toluca
20 Sept
Monterrey
1 : 0
Cruz Azul
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Cruz Azul
13 Sept
Cruz Azul
4 : 3
Club America
Page 1 of 7

Club America

(Away)
05 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas
2 : 0
Club America
02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0
Cruz Azul
28 Sept
Necaxa
2 : 4
Club America
20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas
13 Sept
Cruz Azul
4 : 3
Club America
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Toluca 11 6 2 3 25:15 20
3 Queretaro 10 6 2 2 15:8 20
4 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
5 Club Leon 11 5 3 3 15:12 18
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
9 Puebla 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Tigres UANL 11 3 4 4 13:15 13
12 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
13 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
14 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
15 Atlante 11 2 5 4 12:17 11
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 11 1 1 9 8:26 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)