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Cruz Azul vs Club Leon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cruz Azul host Club Leon in the Liga MX. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Cruz Azul have averaged 1.88 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Club Leon's 1.77 scored and 1.53 conceded. Past meetings favor Cruz Azul slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 11, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.56, favoring Cruz Azul. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cruz Azul
35%
Draws
31%
Club Leon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Club Leon have managed 1.77 goals a game lately — Cruz Azul are scoring more at 1.88.
  • Model gives Cruz Azul a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 15%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul Club Leon
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 17
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Cruz Azul
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Club Leon vs Cruz Azul
0:0
Jul 27, 2025 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Club Leon
4:1
May 12, 2025 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Club Leon
2:1
May 9, 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Cruz Azul
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul 66 / 100
Club Leon 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul Club Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruz Azul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Azul scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Cruz Azul has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Club Leon let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul VS Club Leon
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruz Azul

(Home)
22 Oct
Pachuca
1 : 2
Cruz Azul
18 Oct
Cruz Azul
5 : 0
Juarez
12 Oct
UNAM Pumas
3 : 3
Cruz Azul
02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0
Cruz Azul
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3
Toluca
Page 1 of 7

Club Leon

(Away)
24 Oct
Club Leon
1 : 1
Toluca
21 Oct
Tigres UANL
0 : 2
Club Leon
18 Oct
Club Leon
3 : 5
Club America
10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1
Club Leon
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 13 8 3 2 33:18 27
2 Cruz Azul 14 8 2 4 32:23 26
3 Guadalajara Chivas 14 7 5 2 21:12 26
4 Atlas 14 7 3 4 25:26 24
5 Toluca 14 6 5 3 29:19 23
6 Club Leon 14 6 4 4 21:18 22
7 Monterrey 13 6 2 5 23:18 20
8 Club Tijuana 13 5 5 3 21:17 20
9 Queretaro 13 6 2 5 17:18 20
10 Santos Laguna 14 6 1 7 20:20 19
11 Atletico San Luis 14 5 4 5 19:22 19
12 UNAM Pumas 14 4 5 5 20:23 17
13 Pachuca 14 4 4 6 22:19 16
14 Puebla 14 4 4 6 16:21 16
15 Tigres UANL 14 3 6 5 15:19 15
16 Atlante 14 3 5 6 14:20 14
17 Necaxa 14 2 4 8 16:27 10
18 Juarez 14 1 2 11 9:33 5
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)