Sport Picks
Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
Leagues Cup Subaru Park, Chester, PA 
Match Events
3'
3'
Paradela J.
Assist: Campos O.
10'
10'
Paradela J.
13'
13'
Campos O.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Philadelphia Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Philadelphia Union haven't matched Cruz Azul's recent run of results.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Philadelphia Union taking it.
- Cruz Azul have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cruz Azul, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 10%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cruz Azul | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 2.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Leagues Cup
Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union
1:0
Aug 5, 2024 Leagues Cup
Philadelphia Union vs Cruz Azul
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cruz Azul Compare
Top Goalscorer Paradela J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Philadelphia Union Compare
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cruz Azul 10 / 100
Philadelphia Union 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cruz Azul Philadelphia Union
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Philadelphia Union Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cruz Azul scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Philadelphia Union's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Cruz Azul remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cruz Azul VS Philadelphia Union
1.5 Goals Scored 3.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Cruz Azul
(Home) 02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0 Cruz Azul
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3 Toluca
20 Sept
Monterrey
1 : 0 Cruz Azul
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0 Cruz Azul
13 Sept
Cruz Azul
4 : 3 Club America
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3 Toluca
13 Sept
Cruz Azul
4 : 3 Club America
06 Sept
Cruz Azul
1 : 0 Santos Laguna
23 Aug
Cruz Azul
0 : 2 Atlas
14 Aug
Cruz Azul
1 : 2 Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 3
Philadelphia Union
(Away) 26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2 Orlando City
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4 Philadelphia Union
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5 Philadelphia Union
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0 FC Cincinnati
05 Sept
Philadelphia Union
2 : 0 CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4 Philadelphia Union
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5 Philadelphia Union
29 Aug
New York Red Bulls
1 : 3 Philadelphia Union
23 Aug
Austin FC
1 : 1 Philadelphia Union
16 Aug
New York City
2 : 3 Philadelphia Union
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Leon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Juarez | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 1 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 17 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 18 | Puebla | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Fire | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Austin FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 8 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 13 | Nashville SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 15 | New York City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Seattle Sounders | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Philadelphia Union | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
