Sport Picks
Cruz Azul W vs Guadalajara Chivas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX Women Estadio Centenario, Cuernavaca 
Match Events
7'
7'
Castro D.
27'
27'
Leon M.
42'
42'
Gutierrez R.
AI Match Summary
Guadalajara Chivas W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalajara Chivas W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cruz Azul W haven't matched Guadalajara Chivas W's recent run of results.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Guadalajara Chivas W taking it.
- Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cruz Azul W Clean Sheet 10%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cruz Azul W | Guadalajara Chivas W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:0
Aug 8, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Cruz Azul W
1:1
Jan 21, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:1
Aug 27, 2024 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Cruz Azul W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cruz Azul W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Guadalajara Chivas W Compare
Top Goalscorer Castro D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cruz Azul W 26 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cruz Azul W Guadalajara Chivas W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cruz Azul W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Guadalajara Chivas W let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Cruz Azul W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Cruz Azul W VS Guadalajara Chivas W
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Cruz Azul W
(Home) 04 Oct
Necaxa W
0 : 2 Cruz Azul W
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
22 Sept
Santos Laguna W
2 : 0 Cruz Azul W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
06 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 2 Cruz Azul W
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
23 Aug
Cruz Azul W
0 : 3 Tigres UANL W
15 Aug
Cruz Azul W
3 : 1 Atlante W
01 Aug
Cruz Azul W
3 : 1 Atlas W
Page 1 of 3
Guadalajara Chivas W
(Away) 04 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0 Juarez W
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3 Monterrey W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4 Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4 Guadalajara Chivas W
23 Aug
Pachuca W
3 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
09 Aug
Puebla W
1 : 4 Guadalajara Chivas W
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 39:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:10 | 25 |
| 3 | Toluca W | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Juarez W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 5 | Santos Laguna W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:21 | 15 |
| 7 | Club Leon W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 8 | Atlante W | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:13 | 7 |
| 9 | Queretaro W | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:22 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 45:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13:24 | 9 |
| 8 | Puebla W | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:39 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa W | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
