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Cruz Azul W vs Guadalajara Chivas W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cruz Azul W play Guadalajara Chivas W in the Liga MX Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cruz Azul W averaged 2.22 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Guadalajara Chivas W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. In past meetings, Cruz Azul W won 0, Guadalajara Chivas W won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jan 10, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Cruz Azul W and 1.13 for Guadalajara Chivas W. This points to a Guadalajara Chivas W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cruz Azul W
35%
Draws
36%
Guadalajara Chivas W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Cruz Azul W picked up more points recently compared to Guadalajara Chivas W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Cruz Azul W Clean Sheet 21%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul W Guadalajara Chivas W
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 15 18
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2.22 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:0
Aug 8, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Cruz Azul W
1:1
Jan 21, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:1
Aug 27, 2024 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Cruz Azul W
2:0
Apr 28, 2024 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Cruz Azul W
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul W 30 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul W Guadalajara Chivas W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Guadalajara Chivas W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cruz Azul W attacking → ← attacking Guadalajara Chivas W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Azul W scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Guadalajara Chivas W let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cruz Azul W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Guadalajara Chivas W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 63
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624