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Cruz Azul W vs Tigres UANL W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Centenario, Cuernavaca
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Garcia D.
56'
Sub
Lopez J. In: Kgatlana T.
Out: Lopez J.
56'
Sub
Espinoza G. In: Coury N.
Out: Espinoza G.

AI Match Summary

Tigres UANL W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tigres UANL W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cruz Azul W
15%
Draws
45%
Tigres UANL W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tigres UANL W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Cruz Azul W haven't matched Tigres UANL W's recent run of results.
  • Tigres UANL W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cruz Azul W Clean Sheet 10%
Tigres UANL W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul W Tigres UANL W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.94 2.53
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Tigres UANL W
0:3
Feb 6, 2026 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Cruz Azul W
4:2
Nov 16, 2025 Liga MX Women
Tigres UANL W vs Cruz Azul W
2:1
Nov 14, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Tigres UANL W
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Tigres UANL W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruz Azul W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tigres UANL W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kgatlana T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reyes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul W 26 / 100
Tigres UANL W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul W Tigres UANL W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres UANL W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Cruz Azul W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Tigres UANL W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Cruz Azul W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul W VS Tigres UANL W
1 Goals Scored 3.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruz Azul W

(Home)
04 Oct
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
22 Sept
Santos Laguna W
2 : 0
Cruz Azul W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2
UNAM Pumas W
06 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
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Tigres UANL W

(Away)
03 Oct
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 3
Tigres UANL W
28 Sept
Tigres UANL W
1 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
22 Sept
Toluca W
2 : 7
Tigres UANL W
13 Sept
Club America W
5 : 2
Tigres UANL W
07 Sept
Tigres UANL W
3 : 0
Santos Laguna W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)