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Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 vs Fortaleza U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Rhuan Gabriel
(Penalty)
50' Event
Murilo Rhikman
71' Event
Joao Lima

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro U20 game between Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 and Fortaleza U20 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
20%
Draws
33%
Fortaleza U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 come out ahead of Fortaleza U20 on wins alone.
  • Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Brasileiro U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Fortaleza U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Fortaleza U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 vs Fortaleza U20
3:2
Mar 12, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 vs Fortaleza U20
4:1
Sep 12, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 vs Fortaleza U20
3:0
Apr 24, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 vs Fortaleza U20
1:0
Apr 26, 2023 Brasileiro U20
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 vs Fortaleza U20
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Murilo Rhikman
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruan Indio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Fortaleza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Lima
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 42 / 100
Fortaleza U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Fortaleza U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Fortaleza U20 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 VS Fortaleza U20
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

(Home)
27 Sept
Athletic Club U20
2 : 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
19 Sept
Athletic Club U20
0 : 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
12 Sept
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
2 : 1
Coimbra Sports U20
09 Sept
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
3 : 1
Guanabara City U20
05 Sept
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
3 : 2
Boston City U20
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Fortaleza U20

(Away)
09 Sept
Fortaleza U20
1 : 2
Piaui U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
19 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 1
Quixada U20
12 Aug
Quixada U20
1 : 0
Fortaleza U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 19 13 5 1 54:23 44
2 Vasco U20 19 11 3 5 36:19 36
3 Botafogo RJ U20 19 11 3 5 32:20 36
4 Bragantino U20 19 10 4 5 49:35 34
5 Athletico-PR U20 19 9 5 5 39:25 32
6 Santos U20 19 9 4 6 29:24 31
7 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 19 8 5 6 35:27 29
8 Corinthians U20 19 8 5 6 31:25 29
9 Bahia U20 19 8 5 6 32:30 29
10 Flamengo RJ U20 19 7 7 5 28:29 28
11 Sao Paulo U20 19 6 7 6 27:26 25
12 America MG U20 19 6 7 6 25:37 25
13 Cuiaba U20 19 6 3 10 19:27 21
14 Vitoria U20 19 5 5 9 20:31 20
15 Gremio U20 19 6 1 12 31:42 19
16 Fluminense U20 19 5 4 10 25:31 19
17 EC Juventude U20 19 5 3 11 20:39 18
18 Criciuma U20 19 5 2 12 24:40 17
19 Avai U20 19 3 7 9 24:43 16
20 Fortaleza U20 19 2 9 8 18:25 15
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs)