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Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 vs Fortaleza U20

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Brasileiro U20
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Match Events

38' Event
Rhuan Gabriel
(Penalty)
50' Event
Murilo Rhikman
71' Event
Joao Lima

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro U20 game between Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 and Fortaleza U20 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
28%
Draws
50%
Fortaleza U20
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Fortaleza U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 come out ahead of Fortaleza U20 on wins alone.
  • Fortaleza U20 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Brasileiro U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Fortaleza U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Fortaleza U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 vs Fortaleza U20
3:2
Mar 12, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 vs Fortaleza U20
4:1
Sep 12, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 vs Fortaleza U20
3:0
Apr 24, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 vs Fortaleza U20
1:0
Apr 26, 2023 Brasileiro U20
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 vs Fortaleza U20
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Murilo Rhikman
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruan Indio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fortaleza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Lima
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 23 / 100
Fortaleza U20 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Fortaleza U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Fortaleza U20 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 VS Fortaleza U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

(Home)
19 Jul
Atletico-MG U20
0 : 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
14 Jul
Vasco U20
2 : 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
08 Jul
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
1 : 0
Vasco U20
01 Jul
Bahia U20
3 : 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
27 Jun
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
3 : 2
Athletic Club U20
Page 1 of 6

Fortaleza U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Fortaleza U20
1 : 1
Tirol U20
15 Jul
Caucaia U20
1 : 2
Fortaleza U20
11 Jul
Tiangua EC U20
0 : 3
Fortaleza U20
08 Jul
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
04 Jul
Fortaleza U20
2 : 2
Vila Real U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U2019135154:2344
2Vasco U2019113536:1936
3Botafogo RJ U2019113532:2036
4Bragantino U2019104549:3534
5Athletico-PR U201995539:2532
6Santos U201994629:2431
7Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201985635:2729
8Corinthians U201985631:2529
9Bahia U201985632:3029
10Flamengo RJ U201977528:2928
11Sao Paulo U201967627:2625
12America MG U201967625:3725
13Cuiaba U2019631019:2721
14Vitoria U201955920:3120
15Gremio U2019611231:4219
16Fluminense U2019541025:3119
17EC Juventude U2019531120:3918
18Criciuma U2019521224:4017
19Avai U201937924:4316
20Fortaleza U201929818:2515
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs)