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Cruzeiro-PB vs Serrano PB - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cruzeiro-PB
15%
Draws
35%
Serrano PB
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruzeiro-PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Cruzeiro-PB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cruzeiro-PB's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Cruzeiro-PB have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cruzeiro-PB, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Cruzeiro-PB Clean Sheet 68%
Serrano PB Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro-PB Serrano PB
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.7 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2026 Paraibano 2
Cruzeiro-PB vs Serrano PB
3:2
Sep 12, 2026 Paraibano 2
Serrano PB vs Cruzeiro-PB
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Paraibano 2
Serrano PB vs Cruzeiro-PB
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro-PB 86 / 100
Serrano PB 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro-PB Serrano PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruzeiro-PB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serrano PB's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Cruzeiro-PB stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Cruzeiro-PB scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cruzeiro-PB VS Serrano PB
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruzeiro-PB

(Home)
18 Oct
Cruzeiro-PB
1 : 1
Auto Esporte
15 Oct
Cruzeiro-PB
3 : 2
Serrano PB
11 Oct
Cruzeiro-PB
9 : 0
Picuiense
08 Oct
Spartax
1 : 2
Cruzeiro-PB
05 Oct
Sport PB
0 : 1
Cruzeiro-PB
Page 1 of 6

Serrano PB

(Away)
15 Oct
Cruzeiro-PB
3 : 2
Serrano PB
11 Oct
Serrano PB
8 : 1
Femar
07 Oct
Sao Paulo Crystal
0 : 1
Serrano PB
05 Oct
Auto Esporte
3 : 0
Serrano PB
01 Oct
Serrano PB
2 : 0
Desportiva Guarabira
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Auto Esporte -
TBD -
Cruzeiro-PB 3
Serrano PB 2
Santa Rita -
TBD -
Desportiva Guarabira 0
Spartax 3
Semi-finals
Auto Esporte 1
Cruzeiro-PB 1
Santa Rita 6
Spartax 0
Final
TBD -
TBD -