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Cruzeiro W vs Atletico-MG W

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kelen
9' Event
Leticia Ferreira
14' Event
Byanca Brasil

AI Match Summary

Cruzeiro W in this Mineiro Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cruzeiro W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cruzeiro W
6%
Draws
4%
Atletico-MG W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cruzeiro W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cruzeiro W have won more games recently than Atletico-MG W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Cruzeiro W taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cruzeiro W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cruzeiro W Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro W Atletico-MG W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Atletico-MG W
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 Mineiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Atletico-MG W
4:3
Nov 2, 2024 Mineiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Cruzeiro W
0:4
Apr 21, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Cruzeiro W
0:4
Apr 2, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Atletico-MG W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruzeiro W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leticia Ferreira
2 Goals
Assists Leader Byanca Brasil
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Atletico-MG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelen
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amalia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro W 95 / 100
Atletico-MG W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro W Atletico-MG W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cruzeiro W scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Cruzeiro W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Atletico-MG W has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cruzeiro W VS Atletico-MG W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruzeiro W541039:513
2America Mineiro W532024:511
3Atletico-MG W531127:710
4Itabirito W520314:136
5Valadares W510411:233
6Araguari W50052:640