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Cruzeiro W vs Sao Paulo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Joaquim Henrique Nogueira (Jacare), Sete Lagoas
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Camila Rodrigues
Own Goal
13' Event
Marilia
33'
Bedoya L.

AI Match Summary

Sao Paulo W in this Brasileiro Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Paulo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cruzeiro W
20%
Draws
40%
Sao Paulo W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Paulo W have won more games recently than Cruzeiro W.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Cruzeiro W taking it.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Cruzeiro W Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro W Sao Paulo W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 21
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 2.76 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Sao Paulo W
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Cruzeiro W
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Sao Paulo W
1:1
Dec 7, 2023 Brasil Ladies Cup Women
Sao Paulo W vs Cruzeiro W
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Cruzeiro W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruzeiro W Compare

Top Goalscorer Marilia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sao Paulo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Serrana
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro W 95 / 100
Sao Paulo W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro W Sao Paulo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruzeiro W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruzeiro W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Cruzeiro W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Sao Paulo W let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cruzeiro W VS Sao Paulo W
4.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruzeiro W

(Home)
10 Oct
Atletico-MG W
3 : 4
Cruzeiro W
03 Oct
Cruzeiro W
1 : 0
America Mineiro W
27 Sept
Cruzeiro W
16 : 0
Araguari W
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
19 Sept
Democrata GV W
0 : 4
Cruzeiro W
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Sao Paulo W

(Away)
03 Oct
Sao Paulo W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)