Sport Picks
Crvena zvezda vs Larne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
Champions League Stadion Rajko Mitić, Belgrade 
Match Events
3'
3'
Katai A.
Assist: Veljkovic M.
16'
16'
Katai A.
45'
45'
Arnautovic M.
Assist: Veljkovic M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-0. This leg finished 5-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Larne lately — more wins on the board than Crvena zvezda.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Larne arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Crvena zvezda, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Crvena zvezda Clean Sheet 18%
Larne Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crvena zvezda | Larne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.04 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 29, 2026 Champions League
Crvena zvezda vs Larne
5:0
Jul 21, 2026 Champions League
Larne vs Crvena zvezda
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crvena zvezda Compare
Top Goalscorer Arnautovic M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Katai A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Larne Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crvena zvezda 36 / 100
Larne 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crvena zvezda Larne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Larne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crvena zvezda's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Recent resilience: Crvena zvezda stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Larne conceded in 43% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Crvena zvezda VS Larne
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Crvena zvezda
(Home) 20 Sept
Crvena zvezda
3 : 0 Radnicki Nis
17 Sept
Zeleznicar Pancevo
1 : 2 Crvena zvezda
13 Sept
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1 Crvena zvezda
10 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
0 : 0 Crvena zvezda
06 Sept
Crvena zvezda
2 : 1 Partizan
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Crvena zvezda
3 : 0 Radnicki Nis
06 Sept
Crvena zvezda
2 : 1 Partizan
23 Aug
Crvena zvezda
4 : 0 Cukaricki
20 Aug
Crvena zvezda
3 : 0 Plzen
11 Aug
Crvena zvezda
0 : 2 H. Beer Sheva
Page 1 of 3
Larne
(Away) 19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5 Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0 Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2 Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0 Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1 Glentoran
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5 Larne
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2 Larne
20 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
0 : 2 Larne
15 Aug
Coleraine
0 : 0 Larne
11 Aug
Iberia 1999
2 : 1 Larne
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah Baku 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah Baku 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah Baku 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia 0
AEK 4
Celtic 4
LASK Linz 5
Din. Zagreb 3
Viking 5
Slovan Bratislava 3
Celje 2
H. Beer Sheva 4
Sabah Baku 6
Fenerbahce 3
Lyon 2
Nijmegen 1
Bodo/Glimt 6
