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Crvena zvezda vs Macva Sabac

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga Stadion Rajko Mitić
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crvena zvezda host Macva Sabac in the Mozzart Bet Super Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Crvena zvezda have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Macva Sabac's 0.63 scored and 0.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Crvena zvezda have won 5 to Macva Sabac's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 29, 2022, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.94, favoring Crvena zvezda. API prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Crvena zvezda
39%
Draws
31%
Macva Sabac
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Crvena zvezda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Crvena zvezda have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Crvena zvezda Clean Sheet 20%
Macva Sabac Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crvena zvezda Macva Sabac
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 19 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2022 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Macva Sabac vs Crvena zvezda
0:2
Mar 11, 2021 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Crvena zvezda vs Macva Sabac
4:0
Aug 9, 2020 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Macva Sabac vs Crvena zvezda
0:3
Mar 7, 2020 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Macva Sabac vs Crvena zvezda
0:3
Nov 20, 2019 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Crvena zvezda vs Macva Sabac
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crvena zvezda 31 / 100
Macva Sabac 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crvena zvezda Macva Sabac

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Crvena zvezda scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Crvena zvezda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Macva Sabac has conceded goals in 54% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crvena zvezda VS Macva Sabac
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cukaricki00000:00
2Mladost Lucani00000:00
3OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet00000:00
4Novi Pazar00000:00
5Radnicki Nis00000:00
6Zemun00000:00
7Partizan00000:00
8Vojvodina00000:00
9Crvena zvezda00000:00
10Macva Sabac00000:00
11Radnicki 192300000:00
12Radnik Surdulica00000:00
13IMT Novi Beograd00000:00
14Zeleznicar Pancevo00000:00