Sport Picks
Crvena zvezda vs Macva Sabac - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Serbia
Mozzart Bet Super Liga Stadion Rajko Mitić, Belgrade 
Match Events
7'
7'
Bruno Duarte
Assist: Kostov V.
18'
18'
Krunic R.
Assist: Bruno Duarte
27'
27'
Erakovic S.
AI Match Summary
The Mozzart Bet Super Liga game between Crvena zvezda and Macva Sabac finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crvena zvezda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crvena zvezda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Crvena zvezda carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Crvena zvezda taking it.
- Regular Mozzart Bet Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Crvena zvezda have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Crvena zvezda Clean Sheet 68%
Macva Sabac Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crvena zvezda | Macva Sabac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 20 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Crvena zvezda vs Macva Sabac
5:0
Sep 29, 2022 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Macva Sabac vs Crvena zvezda
0:2
Mar 11, 2021 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Crvena zvezda vs Macva Sabac
4:0
Aug 9, 2020 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Macva Sabac vs Crvena zvezda
0:3
Mar 7, 2020 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Macva Sabac vs Crvena zvezda
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crvena zvezda Compare
Top Goalscorer Kostov V.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bruno Duarte
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Macva Sabac Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crvena zvezda 95 / 100
Macva Sabac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crvena zvezda Macva Sabac
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Crvena zvezda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Crvena zvezda scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Crvena zvezda stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Macva Sabac has conceded goals in 58% of their last 26 outings.
Scoring Trends
Crvena zvezda VS Macva Sabac
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Crvena zvezda
(Home) 20 Sept
Crvena zvezda
3 : 0 Radnicki Nis
17 Sept
Zeleznicar Pancevo
1 : 2 Crvena zvezda
13 Sept
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1 Crvena zvezda
10 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
0 : 0 Crvena zvezda
06 Sept
Crvena zvezda
2 : 1 Partizan
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Crvena zvezda
3 : 0 Radnicki Nis
06 Sept
Crvena zvezda
2 : 1 Partizan
23 Aug
Crvena zvezda
4 : 0 Cukaricki
20 Aug
Crvena zvezda
3 : 0 Plzen
11 Aug
Crvena zvezda
0 : 2 H. Beer Sheva
Page 1 of 4
Macva Sabac
(Away) 20 Sept
Macva Sabac
1 : 2 Mladost Lucani
11 Sept
Zeleznicar Pancevo
2 : 0 Macva Sabac
05 Sept
Macva Sabac
0 : 0 Radnicki 1923
29 Aug
Novi Pazar
1 : 1 Macva Sabac
22 Aug
Macva Sabac
1 : 0 Radnicki Nis
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Zeleznicar Pancevo
2 : 0 Macva Sabac
29 Aug
Novi Pazar
1 : 1 Macva Sabac
15 Aug
Radnik Surdulica
2 : 1 Macva Sabac
03 Aug
Vojvodina
2 : 0 Macva Sabac
17 Jul
Crvena zvezda
5 : 0 Macva Sabac
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crvena zvezda | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24:3 | 28 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Radnicki 1923 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 17 |
| 4 | Mladost Lucani | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 16 |
| 5 | IMT Novi Beograd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:7 | 15 |
| 6 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Radnik Surdulica | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Novi Pazar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Cukaricki | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:18 | 11 |
| 10 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 11 | Partizan | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17:19 | 8 |
| 12 | Radnicki Nis | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:11 | 8 |
| 13 | Macva Sabac | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6:17 | 8 |
| 14 | Zemun | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:19 | 3 |
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)
