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Stadium Background

Crvena zvezda vs Mladost Lucani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga Stadion Rajko Mitić, Belgrade
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crvena zvezda host Mladost Lucani in the Mozzart Bet Super Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Mladost Lucani have shipped 1.19 goals a game lately, while Crvena zvezda have conceded 0.89 and scored 2.11. Past meetings favor Crvena zvezda slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 20, 2025, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.38 - 0.94) back Crvena zvezda to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Crvena zvezda
15%
Draws
35%
Mladost Lucani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crvena zvezda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Crvena zvezda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Crvena zvezda's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Crvena zvezda here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Crvena zvezda Clean Sheet 20%
Mladost Lucani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crvena zvezda Mladost Lucani
Matches Played 35 27
Wins 24 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.11 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Crvena zvezda vs Mladost Lucani
4:0
Aug 15, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Mladost Lucani vs Crvena zvezda
1:4
May 24, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Crvena zvezda vs Mladost Lucani
3:1
Nov 30, 2024 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Mladost Lucani vs Crvena zvezda
0:2
Jul 27, 2024 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Crvena zvezda vs Mladost Lucani
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crvena zvezda 85 / 100
Mladost Lucani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crvena zvezda Mladost Lucani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crvena zvezda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crvena zvezda found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (35 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Crvena zvezda stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Mladost Lucani has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crvena zvezda VS Mladost Lucani
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crvena zvezda

(Home)
10 Oct
Radnicki 1923
0 : 3
Crvena zvezda
20 Sept
Crvena zvezda
3 : 0
Radnicki Nis
17 Sept
Zeleznicar Pancevo
1 : 2
Crvena zvezda
13 Sept
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1
Crvena zvezda
10 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
0 : 0
Crvena zvezda
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Mladost Lucani

(Away)
20 Sept
Macva Sabac
1 : 2
Mladost Lucani
12 Sept
Radnicki 1923
5 : 0
Mladost Lucani
05 Sept
Mladost Lucani
1 : 0
Radnicki Nis
30 Aug
IMT Novi Beograd
2 : 0
Mladost Lucani
23 Aug
Mladost Lucani
3 : 1
Partizan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crvena zvezda 10 9 1 0 24:3 28
2 Vojvodina 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
3 Radnicki 1923 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
4 Mladost Lucani 10 4 4 2 10:12 16
5 IMT Novi Beograd 10 4 3 3 12:7 15
6 Zeleznicar Pancevo 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
7 Radnik Surdulica 10 3 5 2 14:15 14
8 Novi Pazar 10 3 4 3 10:11 13
9 Cukaricki 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
10 OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
11 Partizan 9 2 2 5 17:19 8
12 Radnicki Nis 9 2 2 5 6:11 8
13 Macva Sabac 10 2 2 6 6:17 8
14 Zemun 10 0 3 7 6:19 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)