Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crvena zvezda vs Spartak Subotica

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Rajko Mitić
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crvena zvezda play Spartak Subotica in the Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026. Crvena zvezda are favorites here. Recently, Crvena zvezda averaged 2.17 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Spartak Subotica averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Crvena zvezda won 5, Spartak Subotica won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 9, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.21 for Crvena zvezda and 0.88 for Spartak Subotica. This points to a Crvena zvezda double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Crvena zvezda
15%
Draws
12%
Spartak Subotica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crvena zvezda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Crvena zvezda picked up more points recently compared to Spartak Subotica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.21 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Crvena zvezda Clean Sheet 25%
Spartak Subotica Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crvena zvezda Spartak Subotica
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 3
Draws 5 7
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 2.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Crvena zvezda vs Spartak Subotica
3:2
Nov 9, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Spartak Subotica vs Crvena zvezda
2:3
Mar 16, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Crvena zvezda vs Spartak Subotica
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Spartak Subotica vs Crvena zvezda
1:5
Jan 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Crvena zvezda vs Spartak Subotica
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crvena zvezda Compare

Top Goalscorer Katai A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Enem J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Spartak Subotica Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomovic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osei K. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crvena zvezda 71 / 100
Spartak Subotica 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crvena zvezda Spartak Subotica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crvena zvezda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Crvena zvezda & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.4%
1.54
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Crvena zvezda attacking → ← attacking Spartak Subotica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crvena zvezda scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Spartak Subotica let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Crvena zvezda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Spartak Subotica lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 16
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.67

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Crvena zvezda30243387:2375
2Vojvodina30195655:2962
3Partizan30194762:3961
4Zeleznicar Pancevo30156942:3051
5Novi Pazar30138938:3747
6OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet3010101039:3940
7Cukaricki3010101042:4340
8Radnik Surdulica301091137:3539
9IMT Novi Beograd301071335:4937
10Radnicki 1923308121032:3736
11TSC Backa Topola308101226:3534
12Javor308101229:3934
13Radnicki Nis30961536:4233
14Mladost Lucani307111223:4632
15Spartak Subotica30491734:5521
16Napredak30282026:6514