Sport Picks
Crystal Palace U23 vs Derby U23
England
Premier League 2 2021/2022 Selhurst Park, London 
Match Events
27'
27'
Ozoh D.
33'
33'
Rak-Sakyi J.
Assist: Banks S.
36'
36'
Matthews A.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Crystal Palace U23 and Derby U23 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crystal Palace U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crystal Palace U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Crystal Palace U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Crystal Palace U23's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Crystal Palace U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Derby U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crystal Palace U23 | Derby U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2022 Premier League 2
Crystal Palace U23 vs Derby U23
3:1
Oct 22, 2021 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Crystal Palace U23
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crystal Palace U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Rak-Sakyi J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Derby U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Shonibare J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crystal Palace U23 84 / 100
Derby U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crystal Palace U23 Derby U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Crystal Palace U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crystal Palace U23 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.
Derby U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 33 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.
Away concern: Derby U23 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Crystal Palace U23 VS Derby U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Crystal Palace U23
(Home) 09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1 Derby U23
02 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 2 Leicester U23
25 Apr
Blackburn U23
2 : 1 Crystal Palace U23
04 Apr
Leeds U23
4 : 0 Crystal Palace U23
19 Mar
Crystal Palace U23
1 : 1 Arsenal U23
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1 Derby U23
02 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 2 Leicester U23
19 Mar
Crystal Palace U23
1 : 1 Arsenal U23
12 Mar
Crystal Palace U23
1 : 2 Manchester City U23
28 Feb
Crystal Palace U23
2 : 0 Brighton U23
Page 1 of 4
Derby U23
(Away) 09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1 Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0 Derby U23
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1 Tottenham U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1 Derby U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4 West Brom U23
Page 1 of 7
09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1 Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0 Derby U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1 Derby U23
04 Apr
Brighton U23
5 : 1 Derby U23
21 Mar
Blackburn U23
2 : 1 Derby U23
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U23 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 65:32 | 54 |
| 2 | West Ham U23 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 59:39 | 48 |
| 3 | Arsenal U23 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 56:48 | 41 |
| 4 | Liverpool U23 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 47:37 | 40 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 54:50 | 39 |
| 6 | Manchester United U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:43 | 39 |
| 7 | Tottenham U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 49:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Leicester U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:53 | 37 |
| 9 | Blackburn U23 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 50:56 | 35 |
| 10 | Brighton U23 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 41:41 | 34 |
| 11 | Everton U23 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33:54 | 29 |
| 12 | Chelsea U23 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 39:47 | 28 |
| 13 | Leeds U23 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | 27 |
| 14 | Derby U23 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 31:58 | 15 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
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League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U23 | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 64:27 | 62 |
| 2 | Wolves U23 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 46:37 | 47 |
| 3 | Stoke City U23 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:36 | 43 |
| 4 | Nottingham U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:31 | 42 |
| 5 | Norwich U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 64:52 | 39 |
| 6 | Burnley U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:39 | 39 |
| 7 | Southampton U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:42 | 39 |
| 8 | Newcastle Utd U23 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 51:56 | 38 |
| 9 | West Brom U23 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 44:54 | 35 |
| 10 | Aston Villa U23 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 53:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Birmingham U23 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 34:51 | 26 |
| 12 | Middlesbrough U23 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 31:50 | 26 |
| 13 | Sunderland U23 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 35:49 | 24 |
| 14 | Reading U23 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 32:56 | 23 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
