Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crystal Palace vs AZ Alkmaar

Europe Europe

Conference League 2025/2026 Selhurst Park
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mateta J.
Penalty Missed
22' Event
Lacroix M.
Assist: Guehi M.
45' Event
Sarr I.

AI Match Summary

The Conference League 2025/2026 game between Crystal Palace and AZ Alkmaar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crystal Palace.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Crystal Palace
44%
Draws
20%
AZ Alkmaar
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AZ Alkmaar come out ahead of Crystal Palace on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 15%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crystal Palace AZ Alkmaar
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2025 Conference League
Crystal Palace vs AZ Alkmaar
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crystal Palace Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarr I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lacroix M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

AZ Alkmaar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mijnans S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crystal Palace 35 / 100
AZ Alkmaar 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crystal Palace AZ Alkmaar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Crystal Palace found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

AZ Alkmaar has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Solid form: Crystal Palace remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crystal Palace VS AZ Alkmaar
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Strasbourg651011:516
2Rakow Czestochowa64209:214
3AEK641114:713
4Sparta Prague641110:313
5Rayo Vallecano641113:713
6Shakhtar641110:513
7Mainz64117:313
8AEK Larnaca63307:112
9Lausanne63216:311
10Crystal Palace631211:610
11Lech Poznan631212:810
12Samsunspor631210:610
13Celje63128:710
14AZ Alkmaar63127:710
15Fiorentina63038:59
16Rijeka62315:29
17Jagiellonia62315:49
18Omonia62225:48
19Noah62226:78
20Drita62224:88
21KuPS61416:57
22Shkendija Tetovo62134:57
23Zrinjski62138:107
24Sigma Olomouc62137:97
25Univ. Craiova62136:87
26Lincoln Red Imps62137:157
27Dynamo Kyiv62049:96
28Legia62048:86
29Slovan Bratislava62045:96
30Breidablik61236:115
31Shamrock Rovers61147:134
32Hacken60335:83
33Hamrun61054:113
34Shelbourne60240:72
35Aberdeen60243:142
36Rapid Vienna60153:141