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Crystal Palace vs Burnley

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 Selhurst Park
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Larsen J.
Assist: Wharton A.
33' Event
Larsen J.
Assist: Lerma J.
35'
Richards C.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Crystal Palace and Burnley finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burnley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Crystal Palace
6%
Draws
4%
Burnley
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Crystal Palace

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crystal Palace come out ahead of Burnley on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Crystal Palace taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 16%
Burnley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crystal Palace Burnley
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 2
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Burnley
2:3
Dec 3, 2025 Premier League
Burnley vs Crystal Palace
0:1
Feb 24, 2024 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Burnley
3:0
Nov 4, 2023 Premier League
Burnley vs Crystal Palace
0:2
Feb 26, 2022 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Burnley
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crystal Palace Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Burnley Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejbri H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anthony J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crystal Palace 84 / 100
Burnley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crystal Palace Burnley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Burnley conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Crystal Palace's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Crystal Palace remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crystal Palace VS Burnley
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal38267571:2785
2Manchester City38239677:3578
3Manchester United382011769:5071
4Aston Villa381981156:4965
5Liverpool381791263:5360
6Bournemouth381318758:5457
7Sunderland3814121242:4854
8Brighton3814111352:4653
9Brentford3814111355:5253
10Chelsea3814101458:5252
11Fulham381571647:5152
12Newcastle Utd381471753:5549
13Everton3813101547:5049
14Leeds3811141349:5647
15Crystal Palace3811121541:5145
16Nottingham3811111648:5144
17Tottenham3810111748:5741
18West Ham381091946:6539
19Burnley384102438:7522
20Wolves383112427:6820