Sport Picks

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Crystal Palace vs Everton

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 Selhurst Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crystal Palace play Everton in the Premier League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Crystal Palace averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Everton averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Crystal Palace won 0, Everton won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Crystal Palace and 1.50 for Everton. This points to a Everton double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Crystal Palace
32%
Draws
34%
Everton
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Everton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Crystal Palace picked up more points recently compared to Everton.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 16%
Everton Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crystal Palace Everton
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Everton
2:2
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Everton vs Crystal Palace
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Everton
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 Premier League
Everton vs Crystal Palace
2:1
Feb 19, 2024 Premier League
Everton vs Crystal Palace
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crystal Palace Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarr I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mateta J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Everton Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarkowski J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crystal Palace 34 / 100
Everton 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crystal Palace Everton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Everton or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Crystal Palace attacking → ← attacking Everton

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crystal Palace scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Everton let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Crystal Palace went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Everton lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 38
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Arsenal38267571:2785
2Manchester City38239677:3578
3Manchester United382011769:5071
4Aston Villa381981156:4965
5Liverpool381791263:5360
6Bournemouth381318758:5457
7Sunderland3814121242:4854
8Brighton3814111352:4653
9Brentford3814111355:5253
10Chelsea3814101458:5252
11Fulham381571647:5152
12Newcastle Utd381471753:5549
13Everton3813101547:5049
14Leeds3811141349:5647
15Crystal Palace3811121541:5145
16Nottingham3811111648:5144
17Tottenham3810111748:5741
18West Ham381091946:6539
19Burnley384102438:7522
20Wolves383112427:6820