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Crystal Palace vs Everton

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 Selhurst Park, London
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Tarkowski J.
30'
Garner J.
34' Event
Sarr I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Crystal Palace
30%
Draws
35%
Everton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Everton haven't matched Crystal Palace's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Everton have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 10%
Everton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crystal Palace Everton
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Premier League
Everton vs Crystal Palace
2:0
May 10, 2026 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Everton
2:2
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Everton vs Crystal Palace
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Everton
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 Premier League
Everton vs Crystal Palace
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crystal Palace Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarr I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mateta J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Everton Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarkowski J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crystal Palace 30 / 100
Everton 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crystal Palace Everton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crystal Palace found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Everton has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Crystal Palace went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crystal Palace VS Everton
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crystal Palace

(Home)
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0
Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Crystal Palace
2 : 3
Ipswich
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0
Middlesbrough
05 Sept
Fulham
2 : 3
Crystal Palace
28 Aug
Crystal Palace
1 : 4
Manchester City
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Everton

(Away)
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Ipswich
16 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Wolves
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0
Everton
06 Sept
Everton
2 : 2
Manchester United
29 Aug
Bournemouth
1 : 1
Everton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71:27 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 77:35 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69:50 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56:49 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63:53 60
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58:54 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42:48 54
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 52:46 53
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55:52 53
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58:52 52
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47:51 52
12 Newcastle Utd 38 14 7 17 53:55 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47:50 49
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 49:56 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41:51 45
16 Nottingham 38 11 11 16 48:51 44
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 48:57 41
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 46:65 39
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38:75 22
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 27:68 20
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)