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Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Selhurst Park, London
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Pino Y.
27' Event
Richards C.
Assist: Wharton A.
34' Event
Larsen J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Europa League game between Crystal Palace and Lech Poznan finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crystal Palace.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Crystal Palace
20%
Draws
40%
Lech Poznan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lech Poznan come out ahead of Crystal Palace on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Crystal Palace taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 10%
Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crystal Palace Lech Poznan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 18
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.5 2.46
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Europa League
Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crystal Palace Compare

Top Goalscorer Pino Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Richards C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Lech Poznan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crystal Palace 38 / 100
Lech Poznan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crystal Palace Lech Poznan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crystal Palace Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Crystal Palace's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Lech Poznan let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Crystal Palace has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crystal Palace VS Lech Poznan
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Crystal Palace

(Home)
03 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2
Bristol City
20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0
Crystal Palace
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0
Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Crystal Palace
2 : 3
Ipswich
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0
Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 6

Lech Poznan

(Away)
03 Oct
Lech Poznan
2 : 2
Energie Cottbus
20 Sept
Lech Poznan
5 : 1
Radomiak Radom
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0
Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1
Lech Poznan
06 Sept
Lech Poznan
1 : 0
Rakow Czestochowa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Sparta Prague 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
5 Royale Union SG 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Ferencvaros 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Benfica 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 OFI Crete 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Lyon 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Torreense 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Salzburg 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
15 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 Omonia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 Sturm Graz 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
18 Rennes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
19 Din. Zagreb 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
20 H. Beer Sheva 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
21 Jagiellonia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
22 Real Sociedad 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
23 Anderlecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
24 Lillestrom 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Celta Vigo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Levski Sofia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 Celtic 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
29 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
30 AC Milan 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
31 Celje 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 Marseille 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Ararat-Armenia 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Plzen 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
35 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
36 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)