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Crystal Palace vs Negombo Youth Prediction & H2H Stats

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crystal Palace in this Champions League 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crystal Palace.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Crystal Palace
15%
Draws
21%
Negombo Youth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crystal Palace

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Crystal Palace haven't matched Negombo Youth's recent run of results.
  • Crystal Palace are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2018/2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 16%
Negombo Youth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crystal Palace Negombo Youth
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.17 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.34 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2019 Super League
Crystal Palace vs Negombo Youth
2:1
Dec 20, 2017 Super League
Negombo Youth vs Crystal Palace
2:2
Jul 24, 2016 Super League
Crystal Palace vs Negombo Youth
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crystal Palace 75 / 100
Negombo Youth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crystal Palace Negombo Youth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crystal Palace Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Negombo Youth conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Crystal Palace's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Away concern: Negombo Youth has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crystal Palace VS Negombo Youth
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crystal Palace

(Home)
17 Feb
Blue Eagles
1 : 0
Crystal Palace
09 Feb
Renown
5 : 1
Crystal Palace
03 Feb
Crystal Palace
0 : 3
Pelicans SC
30 Jan
Crystal Palace
2 : 1
Negombo Youth
26 Jan
Crystal Palace
1 : 2
Matara City
Page 1 of 6

Negombo Youth

(Away)
13 Feb
Negombo Youth
2 : 8
Solid
02 Feb
Negombo Youth
0 : 6
Matara City
30 Jan
Crystal Palace
2 : 1
Negombo Youth
27 Jan
Defenders FC
2 : 2
Negombo Youth
19 Jan
Negombo Youth
0 : 1
Blue Eagles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Defenders FC 16 10 4 2 35:25 34
2 Colombo 16 9 5 2 40:20 32
3 Blue Star 16 10 2 4 23:16 32
4 Sea Hawks 16 9 3 4 30:19 30
5 Renown 16 8 3 5 29:20 27
6 Ratnam SC 16 8 3 5 23:19 27
7 UP Country Lions 16 8 0 8 30:22 24
8 Red Star 16 6 5 5 31:21 23
9 Matara City 16 6 5 5 25:24 23
10 Blue Eagles 16 6 5 5 18:20 23
11 Solid 16 5 3 8 36:34 18
12 New Young's SC 16 5 2 9 22:25 17
13 Java Lane 16 4 5 7 24:32 17
14 Pelicans SC 16 4 5 7 19:30 17
15 Saunders 16 4 2 10 22:35 14
16 Crystal Palace 16 3 4 9 14:31 13
17 Negombo Youth 16 1 4 11 18:46 7
18 Super Sun 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Cup 2019 (Qualification)