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Crystal Palace vs Swindon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly Crystal Palace Academy, Beckenham
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Nketiah E.
21' Event
Nketiah E.
33' Event
Holman F.
Assist: Virtue M.

AI Match Summary

Crystal Palace in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crystal Palace.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Crystal Palace
20%
Draws
10%
Swindon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crystal Palace

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Crystal Palace have won more games recently than Swindon.
  • Model gives Crystal Palace a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Crystal Palace have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 19%
Swindon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crystal Palace Swindon
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Crystal Palace vs Swindon
5:1
Aug 8, 2012 Club Friendly
Swindon vs Crystal Palace
0:1
Jan 6, 2007 FA Cup
Crystal Palace vs Swindon
2:1
Jan 21, 2000 Championship
Swindon vs Crystal Palace
2:4
Aug 21, 1999 Championship
Crystal Palace vs Swindon
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crystal Palace Compare

Top Goalscorer Nketiah E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Franca
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Swindon Compare

Top Goalscorer Holman F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crystal Palace 76 / 100
Swindon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crystal Palace Swindon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crystal Palace Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swindon has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Crystal Palace scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Crystal Palace remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crystal Palace VS Swindon
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crystal Palace

(Home)
03 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2
Bristol City
20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0
Crystal Palace
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0
Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Crystal Palace
2 : 3
Ipswich
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0
Middlesbrough
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Swindon

(Away)
03 Oct
Rochdale
1 : 0
Swindon
26 Sept
Swindon
1 : 1
Accrington
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2
Newport
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Swindon
15 Sept
Swindon
1 : 2
Crystal Palace U21
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