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CS Sfaxien vs AS Gabes

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Stade Taïeb Mehiri, Sfax
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Match Events

36'
Ben Amor I.
51'
Diolvy Agdavain M.
67'
Ouedraogo H.

AI Match Summary

CS Sfaxien in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CS Sfaxien.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CS Sfaxien
15%
Draws
0%
AS Gabes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CS Sfaxien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CS Sfaxien have won more games recently than AS Gabes.
  • Win probability leans CS Sfaxien's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
CS Sfaxien Clean Sheet 68%
AS Gabes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CS Sfaxien AS Gabes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 2
Draws 6 7
Losses 3 20
Goals Scored 1.5 0.41
Goals Conceded 0.4 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CS Sfaxien vs AS Gabes
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs CS Sfaxien
0:0
Jan 29, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CS Sfaxien vs AS Gabes
1:0
Sep 1, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs CS Sfaxien
2:2
May 30, 2019 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CS Sfaxien vs AS Gabes
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CS Sfaxien Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Ali O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

AS Gabes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CS Sfaxien 95 / 100
AS Gabes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CS Sfaxien AS Gabes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CS Sfaxien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CS Sfaxien scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

AS Gabes has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

AS Gabes lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

CS Sfaxien VS AS Gabes
1.38 Goals Scored 0.17
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CS Sfaxien

(Home)
20 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0
CA Bizertin
16 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 1
CS Sfaxien
13 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0
Shooting
05 Sept
Shooting
1 : 0
CS Sfaxien
29 Aug
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Zarzis
Page 1 of 6

AS Gabes

(Away)
26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2
Megrine
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1
Stade Tunisien
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0
AS Gabes
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2
JS Kairouan
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0
AS Gabes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 30 19 9 2 43:10 66
2 Esperance Tunis 30 18 9 3 45:11 63
3 CS Sfaxien 30 18 8 4 44:13 62
4 Stade Tunisien 30 12 12 6 28:14 48
5 Monastir 30 11 12 7 28:19 45
6 Zarzis 30 11 8 11 30:28 41
7 Etoile Sahel 30 11 8 11 28:30 41
8 Metlaoui 30 9 13 8 19:25 40
9 Jeunesse Sportive 30 10 6 14 24:33 36
10 Ben Guerdane 30 8 11 11 18:22 35
11 AS Marsa 30 11 2 17 26:33 35
12 CA Bizertin 30 8 9 13 18:29 33
13 Olympique Beja 30 9 5 16 18:39 32
14 JS Kairouan 30 9 4 17 20:41 31
15 Soliman 30 6 9 15 15:31 27
16 AS Gabes 30 3 9 18 11:37 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)