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CS Sfaxien vs Stade Gabesien - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Tunisia Cup Stade Taïeb Mehiri, Sfax
CS Sfaxien Logo

CS Sfaxien

Wed, May 20, 2026
2 - 1
02:30 PM
Stade Gabesien Logo

Stade Gabesien

Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Mathlouthi H.
66' Event
Tangour A.
(Penalty)
95' Event
Derbali R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CS Sfaxien
30%
Draws
23%
Stade Gabesien
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CS Sfaxien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CS Sfaxien come out ahead of Stade Gabesien on wins alone.
  • CS Sfaxien are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • CS Sfaxien have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CS Sfaxien, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CS Sfaxien have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
CS Sfaxien Clean Sheet 68%
Stade Gabesien Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CS Sfaxien Stade Gabesien
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 1.54 1.61
Goals Conceded 0.43 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.18 0.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Tunisia Cup
CS Sfaxien vs Stade Gabesien
2:1
Apr 21, 2019 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Gabesien vs CS Sfaxien
1:3
Nov 3, 2018 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CS Sfaxien vs Stade Gabesien
1:0
Jan 31, 2018 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CS Sfaxien vs Stade Gabesien
0:0
Sep 9, 2017 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Gabesien vs CS Sfaxien
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CS Sfaxien Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathlouthi H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Derbali R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.59

Stade Gabesien Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.29

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CS Sfaxien 86 / 100
Stade Gabesien 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CS Sfaxien Stade Gabesien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CS Sfaxien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CS Sfaxien's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: CS Sfaxien remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Stade Gabesien let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

CS Sfaxien VS Stade Gabesien
1.5 Goals Scored 0.57
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CS Sfaxien

(Home)
20 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0
CA Bizertin
16 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 1
CS Sfaxien
13 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0
Shooting
05 Sept
Shooting
1 : 0
CS Sfaxien
29 Aug
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Zarzis
Page 1 of 6

Stade Gabesien

(Away)
04 Oct
Stade Gabesien
0 : 0
Moknine
27 Sept
Ariana
1 : 1
Stade Gabesien
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0
Stade Gabesien
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0
US Tataouine
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
JS Kairouan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Feriana -
TBD -
Hamam-Sousse 2
Jendouba Sport 3
Moknine 1
Sfax Railways 3
TBD -
ES Fahs -
CO Kram -
TBD -
AS Agareb 3
Sporting Ben Arous 2
Nefza -
TBD -
Stade Gabesien 2
Hammam-Lif 0
Gafsa Ksar -
TBD -
TBD -
Jebel Jeloud -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Zarzis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MS Metlaoui -
TBD -
Korba 6
Kalaa 2
CA Bizertin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Marsa -
Msaken 3
Sidi Bouzid 1
US Tataouine 3
Megrine 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ben Guerdane -
Bouchamma 1
Kerkennah 3
Ariana 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 1
Sahline -
TBD -
TBD -
Oued Ellil -
Mornag -
TBD -
TBD -
Hassi Amor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympique Beja -
Ajim Djerba -
TBD -
Redeyef 1
Djelma 2
Chebika -
TBD -
EM Mahdia 2
Kasserine 1
Jeunesse Sportive -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sportive Kebili -
TBD -
TBD -
Guettar -
BS Bouhajla 1
Chebba 0
TBD -
Rades -
Ksour Essef -
TBD -
Menzel Bourguiba 1
Gafsa 2
Soliman -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
WS Hamma -
TBD -
TBD -
Stir Zarzouna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
1/32-finals
JS Kairouan -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Feriana 1
Jendouba Sport 3
Sfax Railways -
ES Fahs -
CO Kram 2
AS Agareb 3
Nefza 0
Stade Gabesien 2
Gafsa Ksar 1
Jebel Jeloud 0
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Zarzis -
TBD -
MS Metlaoui 0
Korba 2
CA Bizertin -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Marsa -
Msaken 3
US Tataouine 2
TBD -
Ben Guerdane -
Kerkennah 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
Sahline 2
Oued Ellil 1
Mornag 3
Hassi Amor 2
TBD -
Olympique Beja -
Ajim Djerba 2
Djelma 0
Chebika 0
EM Mahdia 4
Jeunesse Sportive -
TBD -
Sportive Kebili 1
Guettar 0
BS Bouhajla 3
Rades 0
Ksour Essef 2
Gafsa 0
Soliman -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
WS Hamma 1
Stir Zarzouna 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
1/16-finals
JS Kairouan 0
CS Sfaxien 1
Jendouba Sport 2
Sfax Railways 0
AS Agareb 1
Stade Gabesien 4
Gafsa Ksar 0
Etoile Sahel 5
Monastir 1
Club Africain 0
Zarzis 1
Korba 0
CA Bizertin 3
AS Marsa 2
Msaken 4
Ben Guerdane 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 6
Sahline 0
Mornag 1
Olympique Beja 2
Ajim Djerba 2
EM Mahdia 0
Jeunesse Sportive 1
Sportive Kebili 0
BS Bouhajla 2
Ksour Essef 1
Soliman 3
Stade Tunisien 2
Metlaoui 5
AS Gabes 2
WS Hamma 0
Esperance Tunis 5
1/8-finals
CS Sfaxien 2
Jendouba Sport 1
Stade Gabesien 4
Etoile Sahel 3
Monastir 1
Zarzis 2
CA Bizertin 2
Msaken 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
Olympique Beja 1
Ajim Djerba 0
Jeunesse Sportive 2
BS Bouhajla 2
Soliman 1
Metlaoui 1
Esperance Tunis 3
Quarter-finals
CS Sfaxien 2
Stade Gabesien 1
Zarzis 2
CA Bizertin 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 1
Jeunesse Sportive 2
BS Bouhajla 0
Esperance Tunis 3
Semi-finals
CS Sfaxien 0
Zarzis 1
Jeunesse Sportive 0
Esperance Tunis 1
Final
Zarzis 0
Esperance Tunis 1